Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 4/4/2019

Thursday, April 4, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to Scotiabank Arena to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday, April 4, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at -103 and the Maple Leafs at -107.

Tampa Bay has a record of 60-16-4 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 310 goals and given up 217 goals for a point differential of +93. For the season they have an ATS record of 60-20-0 and an over/under record of 43-34-0. Toronto is 46-27-7 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 280 goals and surrendered 241 for a goal differential of +39. Their record against the spread is 46-34-0 while their over/under record is 39-37-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 60-20-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 43-34-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 46-34-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-37-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

04/01/19 D Victor Hedman Upper Body is out indefinitely
03/20/19 D Dan Girardi Lower Body is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Brayden Point has accumulated 92 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 41 goals this year with 189 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 22%. He has a total of 51 assists on the season and averages 18.9 minutes played per game. Nikita Kucherov averages 20 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 39 goals on 242 shots. He has 86 assists, giving him a total of 125 points on the season. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 38 wins and 10 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 1,683 shots against him and he's given up 127 goals. He's made 1,556 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Morgan Rielly has scored 72 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 20 goals this season with 218 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 9%. He has a total of 52 assists on the season and averages 23.1 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 25 goals on 227 shots. He has 67 assists, giving him a total of 92 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 36 wins and 15 losses this year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,881 shots against him and he's surrendered 155 goals. He's made 1,726 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have 124 total points this season, which ranks them 1st in the NHL. They are 1st in the league in goals scored with 310 while they've given up 217 goals, ranking them 23rd overall. They have had 259 power play opportunities and have scored 73 goals on those chances for a percentage of 28%. That is 1st in the NHL. The Lightning have allowed 263 power play opportunities and have given up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85%, putting them 3rd in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 12.07% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%. That puts them 3rd in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 5th in the NHL with a total of 99 points this year. They have 46 power play goals on 206 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranks them 8th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 200 power play opportunities and have given up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 17th in the NHL. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 4th in the league with 280 goals scored while they've given up 241 goals, which is 15th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 10.54%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 9th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 13th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.4%, as they've attempted 4,630 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,550 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.6% as they have 3,535 attempts while they have given up 3,447 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 13th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 50% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 2,466 face-off wins compared to 2,364 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.1%. That ranks them 8th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 2,061 hits and they have blocked 1,103 shots from the opposition, putting them 19th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.8% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 2,575 face-off wins compared to 2,262 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53.2%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,387 hits and they have blocked 1,092 shots from the opposition, which is 21st in the league. Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.8% as they've attempted 5,189 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,833 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.8% ranks 12th as they have 3,865 attempts while they have given up 3,741 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto -107

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