Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 3/23/2019

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Enterprise Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to Enterprise Center to play the St. Louis Blues on Saturday, March 23, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at -125 and the Blues at +105.

Tampa Bay has a record of 58-13-4 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 292 goals and given up 197 goals for a point differential of +95. For the season they have an ATS record of 57-17-0 and an over/under record of 38-33-0. St. Louis is 39-27-8 this season. They are 3rd in the Central Division. They have scored 218 goals and surrendered 200 for a goal differential of +18. Their record against the spread is 38-35-0 while their over/under record is 29-39-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 57-17-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 38-33-0 against the over/under this season

Important St. Louis Blues Betting Trends

The St. Louis Blues are 38-35-0 straight up this year

The St. Louis Blues are 29-39-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

03/21/19 D Anton Stralman Lower Body is out indefinitely
03/20/19 D Dan Girardi Lower Body is out indefinitely

Key St. Louis Blues Injuries

10/04/18 LW Erik Foley Concussion is out for season
03/21/19 D Joel Edmundson Lower Body is questionable Saturday vs Tampa Bay
03/17/19 LW Sammy Blais Lower Body is questionable Saturday vs Tampa Bay
02/19/19 D Carl Gunnarsson Lower Body IR (02/19)

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has accumulated 120 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 37 goals this year with 229 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 83 assists on the season and averages 19.8 minutes played per game. Brayden Point averages 18.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 22% by scoring 39 goals on 175 shots. He has 50 assists, giving him a total of 89 points on the season. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 36 wins and 8 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 1,581 shots against him and he's given up 111 goals. He's made 1,470 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Brayden Schenn has scored 46 total points this year for the Blues. He has 14 goals this season with 135 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 32 assists on the season and averages 18.7 minutes played per game. Ryan O'Reilly averages 20.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 26 goals on 206 shots. He has 43 assists, giving him a total of 69 points on the season. Jordan Binnington has 19 wins and 4 losses this year in goal for the Blues. He has 636 shots against him and he's surrendered 45 goals. He's made 591 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have 120 total points this season, which ranks them 1st in the NHL. They are 1st in the league in goals scored with 292 while they've given up 197 goals, ranking them 27th overall. They have had 244 power play opportunities and have scored 72 goals on those chances for a percentage of 30%. That is 1st in the NHL. The Lightning have allowed 247 power play opportunities and have given up 35 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 86%, putting them 1st in the league when short-handed. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 12.06% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%. That puts them 3rd in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blues are 13th in the NHL with a total of 86 points this year. They have 45 power play goals on 221 opportunities for a percentage of 20%. That ranks them 14th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 213 power play opportunities and have given up 39 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. That is 8th in the NHL. As a team, the Blues are 17th in the league with 218 goals scored while they've given up 200 goals, which is 26th overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.30%. As a team they give up 28 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 13th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.5%, as they've attempted 4,354 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,273 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.6% as they have 3,324 attempts while they have given up 3,239 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 49.9% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50.1% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 2,330 face-off wins compared to 2,214 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.3%. That ranks them 8th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,906 hits and they have blocked 1,034 shots from the opposition, putting them 18th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Blues are 12th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.9% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.1% for the season, which is 20th in the NHL. They have 2,222 face-off wins compared to 2,088 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.6%. That is 5th in the league. On defense St. Louis has 1,481 hits and they have blocked 1,033 shots from the opposition, which is 19th in the league. St. Louis is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.7% as they've attempted 4,218 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,943 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52.3% ranks 8th as they have 3,185 attempts while they have given up 2,910 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Blues NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take St. Louis +105

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