St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

TD Garden

Jordan Binnington and the St. Louis Blues (5-2-3, 3rd in the Central Division) go to TD Garden on Saturday where they'll take on the Boston Bruins (6-1-2, 2nd in the Atlantic Division). The Bruins open this matchup at -113 while the Blues are coming in at +102. The over/under opens at 6.5. The Blues are covering 50.0% of the time, having gone 5-5 SU. The Bruins are covering 66.7% of the time, going 6-3 straight up.

The St. Louis Blues come into this matchup with a record of 5 victories and 2 defeats, which is good for 3rd in the Central Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 32 goals which ranks 6th in the West and 13th in the league. Their goal differential is +1, which is good for 17th in the league. The Blues have compiled a total of 13 points, which ranks 9th in the league and 5th in the West. Regarding shots at the opposition, they have compiled a total of 302 which ranks 9th in the West and 18th in the league. As a team, St. Louis has racked up a total of 164 hits which means they are averaging 16.4 per game. They have compiled a total of 95 blocks for the season. Protecting the net for St. Louis is Jordan Binnington from Richmond Hill, Ontario. He is 26 years old and has totaled 488 minutes in net for the campaign. Binnington is surrendering an average of 2.58 goals per contest which puts him at 12th among Western Conference goalies and 17th in the NHL among goaltenders. For the season, he's surrendered 21 goals. He has a save % of .916 which puts him at 11th among Western Conference goalies.

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The St. Louis Blues went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5 - 2 victory against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game. The Blues had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in the win. In their game, they converted 5 of the 35 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 4 power play attempts and notched 3 goals out of those opportunities. St. Louis had 11 penalty mins in their game. The Corsi for the Blues sat at 47 and the Corsi against was 31 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 60.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 32 while the Fenwick against was 29, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 52.5%. They won 14 face-off wins at even strength and lost 17 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 70.2% and they had a PDO of 101.5 for this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Los Angeles Kings tallied 35 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 13 penalty mins and they had 3 power play chances.

The Bruins are the team looking to add points to their total and for the season they sit with 6 victories and 1 defeat. In discussing goal differential, they are currently ranked 2nd in the East and 6th in the league with +7. They have a total of 26 goals for the season which is 9th in the Eastern Conference. Boston has a save % as a team of .935 which has them sitting 1st in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 8.7% which puts them at 12th in the Eastern Conference. In net for Boston is Tuukka Rask who is having a solid season by giving up only 1.77 GAA and that has him ranked 1st among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 2nd in the NHL among goalies. In the 304 minutes he's played this season, he has given up 9 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .944, which puts him at 1st among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 1st in the NHL among goalies.

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The Boston Bruins went up against the Toronto Maple Leafs in a game where the Bruins earned a win by a final score of 4 - 2. While out there on the ice, Boston had a 61.7% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 37 and their opponent having a Corsi of 23. Their Fenwick percentage was 64.6% by notching a Fenwick of 31 and the Maple Leafs earning a 17 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Boston played and they looked good in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 104.0 and their percentage of oZS was 62.1%. The Bruins netted 4 goals of the 39 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play chances in this game and were able to net 1 out of those opportunities. As for the opposition, the Maple Leafs had 4 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal on that try. Boston gave up 30 shots on goal and the Maple Leafs racked up a total of 8 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take St. Louis (+102)

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