San Jose Sharks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 12/7/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019
Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL
TV: NSCA/SunS
Odds/Point Spread: Sharks (+171) Lightning (-190)
Total/Over-Under: 6.5
Amalie Arena is the site where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-10-3, 6th in the Atlantic Division) will take on the San Jose Sharks (15-13-2, 4th in the Pacific Division) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Sharks coming in at +171 and the Lightning are at -190. The over/under has been set at 6.5. The Sharks are covering 46.4% of the time, having gone 13-15 SU. Tampa Bay covers 48.0% of the time, going 12-13 straight up.
The San Jose Sharks head into this matchup with a record of 15 wins and 13 losses, ranking them 4th in the Pacific Division. During the season thus far, they have racked up a total of 84 goals which ranks them 8th in the conference and 19th in the league. Their goal differential is -14, ranking them 26th in the league. The Sharks have earned a total of 32 points, which ranks them 15th in the league and 9th in the West. When looking at shots toward the net, they have earned a total of 865 which ranks them 12th in the West and 24th in the league. As a group, San Jose currently has a total of 522 hits which means they have an average of 17.4 per contest. They have earned a total of 278 blocks for the season. The goaltender for San Jose is Martin Jones from North Vancouver, British Columbia. He is 30 years old and has been on the ice a total of 1,309 mins in net for the year. Jones is conceding an average of 3.16 goals per contest which has him ranking 25th among West goaltenders and 44th among goaltenders in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he has surrendered 69 goals. He has a save percentage of .892 which has him ranking 25th among West goaltenders.
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The San Jose Sharks will need a bounce back game after taking a 3 - 2 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game. The Sharks had an offensive game that was below their expectations in this loss. For this matchup, they earned a goal on 2 out of the 30 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 2 power play chances but didn't get a goal. San Jose racked up 8 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Sharks was 44 and the Corsi against was 32 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 57.9%. Their Fenwick was 34 while the Fenwick against was 23, which gave them a Fenwick percentage of 59.6%. They earned 31 face-off wins at even strength and lost 15 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 71.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 96.6 in this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Carolina Hurricanes earned 29 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 6 penalty minutes and they earned 3 power play opportunities.
The Lightning are the team looking to add points to their total and for the current year they have 13 victories and 10 losses. When discussing goal differential, they are currently ranked 7th in the conference and 11th in the NHL with +8. They have earned a total of 94 goals for the year which ranks them 4th in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay has a save percentage as a team of .899 which has them ranked 22nd in the NHL, meaning there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.3% ranking them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having a rough season by allowing 3.01 goals against average and that ranks him 17th among Eastern Conference goalies and 38th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 1,135 mins he has been on the ice, he's surrendered 57 goals. He holds a save % of .903, which has him ranking 17th among Eastern Conference goalies and 37th among goaltenders in the NHL.
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The Tampa Bay Lightning faced the Minnesota Wild in an outing where the Lightning went home in defeat by a final score of 5 - 4. In this outing, Tampa Bay wound up with a 62.0% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 49 while their opponent had a Corsi of 30. Their Fenwick percentage was 62.3% by earning a Fenwick of 33 and the Wild earning a 20 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Tampa Bay played and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 77.3 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 42.7%. The Lightning scored 4 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play chances in this one and netted 1 out of those tries. In discussing the opposition, the Wild had 2 power play attempts but were not able to take advantage. Tampa Bay allowed 21 shots on goal and the Wild racked up a total of 10 penalty mins.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-190)
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Additional Resources:
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter
San Jose Sharks - Twitter