Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red Wings - 12/7/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: FSDT/ATTP

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-210) Red Wings (+188)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Matt Murray and the Pittsburgh Penguins (15-9-4, 5th in the Metropolitan Division) head to Little Caesars Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Detroit Red Wings (7-20-3, 8th in the Atlantic Division). The Penguins open this game at -210 while the Red Wings are priced at +188. The over/under has been set at 6. The Penguins cover 51.9% of the time, having gone 14-13 SU. The Red Wings cover 23.3% of the time, going 7-23 straight up.

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into the game with a record of 15 wins and 9 defeats, ranking them 5th in the Metropolitan Division. Thus far in the season, they have earned a total of 95 goals which is 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +17, ranking them 4th in the NHL. The Penguins have earned a total of 34 points, which is 13th in the NHL and 6th in the conference. When discussing shots on goal, they have earned a total of 966 which is 3rd in the conference and 5th in the NHL. As a group, Pittsburgh has a total of 622 hits which means they are averaging 22.2 per contest. They have earned a total of 259 blocks for this season. The goalie for Pittsburgh is Matt Murray from Surrey, British Columbia. He is 25 years old and has racked up 1,162 mins in net for the campaign. Murray is surrendering 2.84 goals per game which has him ranked 11th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 26th in the NHL. For the year, he has given up 55 goals. He's earned a save % of .897 which has him ranked 21st among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3 - 0 win against the St. Louis Blues in their previous contest. The Penguins offense didn't overly impress in this win. In this matchup, they finished 3 out of the 33 shots they attempted. Additionally, they had 5 power play chances but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Pittsburgh ended up with 8 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Penguins sat at 33 and the Corsi against was 26 which means they earned a Corsi percentage of 55.9%. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against was 19, which tells us they had a rate of 60.4%. They won 21 face-off wins and lost 13 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 42.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 111.5 for this one. Regarding their opponent, the St. Louis Blues earned 28 shots. They ended the game with 10 minutes in the box and they notched 4 power play attempts.

The Red Wings will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the campaign they sit with 7 victories and 20 losses. When it comes to goal differential, they are ranked 16th in the Eastern Conference and 31st in the league with -55. They have a total of 63 goals for the year which puts them at 16th in the Eastern Conference. Detroit has a save percentage as a team of .879 which has them ranked 31st in the league, which means there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They have a team shooting percentage of 7.2% which puts them at 16th in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Detroit is Jonathan Bernier who is having a bad year by giving up 3.34 goals against average and that ranks him 22nd in the East and 48th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,006 minutes he has played, he has allowed 56 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .891, which puts him at 23rd in the East and 48th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Detroit Red Wings squared up with the New York Islanders in an outing where the Red Wings ended up taking the loss by a score of 4 - 1. In their game, Detroit went home with a 52.8% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 38 and the other team having a Corsi of 34. They had a Fenwick percentage of 54.7% by earning a Fenwick of 29 and the Islanders having earned a 24 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Detroit had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. They had a PDO of 82.4 and their oZS percentage was 44.4%. The Red Wings notched 1 goal out of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 6 power play chances in this game and scored 1 out of those tries. Regarding their opponent, the Islanders had 5 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Detroit gave way to 25 shots on goal and the Islanders ended up with 12 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-210)

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