Philadelphia Flyers vs. Colorado Avalanche - 12/11/19 NHL Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: NBCS

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+132) Avalanche (-146)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (19-8-3, 2nd in the Central Division) play the Philadelphia Flyers (17-8-5, 3rd in the Metropolitan Division) at Pepsi Center on Wednesday, December 11, 2019. The Avalanche open this contest at -146 while the Flyers are coming in at +132. The total is set at 6. The Flyers are covering 51.9% of the time, having gone 14-13 SU. The Avalanche are covering 63.3% of the time, going 19-11 straight up.

The Philadelphia Flyers step onto the ice with a record of 17 victories and 8 defeats, which puts them at 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. So far this season, they have racked up a total of 93 goals which ranks them 10th in the East and 14th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +13, which puts them at 6th in the NHL. The Flyers currently have a total of 39 pts, which ranks them 8th in the NHL and 4th in the East. In connection with shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 973 which ranks them 9th in the East and 12th in the NHL. As a team, Philadelphia currently has a total of 494 hits which means they have an average of 16.5 per contest. They currently have a total of 274 blocks for this year. Looking after the net for Philadelphia is Carter Hart from Lulea, Sweden. He is 21 years old and has been on the ice a total of 1,031 mins defending the goal this year. Hart is allowing an average of 2.39 goals against average which has him sitting 6th among East goaltenders and 10th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's given up 41 goals. He has a save % of .909 which has him sitting 13th among East goaltenders.

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The Philadelphia Flyers came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4 - 3 win against the Ottawa Senators in their previous contest. The Flyers played really well in this win. In this game, they scored on 4 of the 21 shots they looked to score on. They also had 3 power play chances but weren't able to net one. Philadelphia earned a total of 16 penalty mins in this outing. The Corsi for the Flyers was 32 and the Corsi against was 34 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 48.5%. Their Fenwick was 27 and the Fenwick against sat at 24, telling us they have a rate of 52.9%. They won 22 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 52.2% and they had a PDO of 105.6 for this matchup. Concerning opponent stats, the Ottawa Senators put up 30 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 16 penalty minutes and they had 3 power play chances.

The Avalanche will be the team across the ice and for the season they have 19 wins and 8 defeats. When talking about goal differential, they are currently ranked 1st in the West and 2nd in the NHL with +27. They have earned a total of 111 goals for the season which ranks 1st in the conference. Colorado has a save percentage as a team of .914 which has them sitting 9th in the NHL, meaning scoring opportunities may be scarce. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.6% putting them at 1st in the West. In net for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer who is having a marginal campaign by surrendering 2.76 goals per game and that has him 13th among West goalies and 23rd in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 999 mins he has played this year, he's allowed 46 goals. His save % is .914, which has him placed 11th among West goalies and 20th in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Colorado Avalanche squared up with the Calgary Flames in a game where the Avalanche ended up taking the loss by a final score of 5 - 4. For this game, Colorado wound up with a 60.2% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 50 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 33. They had a Fenwick percentage of 57.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 31 and the Flames having a 23 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. They had a PDO of 93.9 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 57.9%. The Avalanche scored 4 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. Regarding their opponent, the Flames had 3 power play attempts and went on to score 1 goal. Colorado gave up 33 shots on goal and the Flames racked up 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+132)

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