Ottawa Senators vs. Edmonton Oilers - 12/4/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers
Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2019
Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB
TV: RSNW/TSN5
Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+137) Oilers (-152)
Total/Over-Under: 6
Anders Nilsson and the Ottawa Senators (11-15-1, 7th in the Atlantic Division) head to Rogers Place on Wednesday where they'll take on the Edmonton Oilers (17-9-3, 1st in the Pacific Division). The odds on this contest have the Senators coming in at +137 and the Oilers are at -152. The total has been set at 6. The Senators cover 40.7% of the time, having gone 11-16 SU. The Oilers cover 55.6% of the time, going 15-12 straight up.
The Ottawa Senators head into this game holding a record of 11 wins and 15 losses, ranking them 7th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have earned a total of 69 goals which has them sitting at 13th in the East and 28th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -14, ranking them 27th in the NHL. The Senators have a total of 23 pts, which has them sitting at 29th in the NHL and 14th in the Eastern Conference. In discussing shots on goal, they have a total of 808 which has them sitting at 12th in the East and 25th in the NHL. As a team, Ottawa currently has a total of 540 hits which has them averaging 20 per contest. They have a total of 299 blocks for the year. The man looking after the net for Ottawa is Anders Nilsson from Park Ridge, Illinois. He is 29 years old and has totaled 781 minutes in goal for the year. Nilsson is allowing 2.92 GAA which has him sitting 14th among East goaltenders and 33rd in the NHL. So far this year, he's surrendered 38 goals. He holds a save % of .917 which has him sitting 6th among East goaltenders.
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The Ottawa Senators had a rough game after their 3 - 1 defeat against the Calgary Flames in their previous game. The Senators didn't have their best offensive outing in the loss. In this game, they netted 1 of the 27 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 1 power play attempt but didn't get a goal. Ottawa earned 6 penalty minutes in this outing. The Corsi for the Senators was 44 and the Corsi against was 38 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 53.7%. Their Fenwick was 33 while the Fenwick against was 29, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 53.2%. They won 32 face-off wins and lost 18 of the face-offs. Their offensive zone starts came in at 43.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 93.7 in this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Calgary Flames put up 27 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 2 minutes in the box and they tallied 3 power play opportunities.
The Oilers will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 17 wins and 9 defeats. In terms of goal differential, they are currently sitting 5th in the Western Conference and 12th in the NHL with +6. They currently have a total of 89 goals for this year which puts them at 3rd in the West. Edmonton has a team save percentage of .910 which is good for 11th in the NHL, which means there should be some chances to score. They have a shooting percentage of 10.6% which puts them at 2nd in the conference. In goal for Edmonton is Mikko Koskinen who is having an average season by allowing 2.52 goals against average and that has him ranked 8th among West goalies and 14th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 929 mins he's been on the ice, he's surrendered 39 goals. His save percentage is .921, which has him placed 9th among West goalies and 14th in the NHL among goaltenders.
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The Edmonton Oilers faced off against the Vancouver Canucks in a matchup where the Oilers notched a victory by a final score of 3 - 2. For this game, Edmonton earned a 46.3% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 37 and the other team having a Corsi of 43. Their Fenwick rate was 53.6% by earning a Fenwick of 30 and the Canucks having earned a 26 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Edmonton played and we'd say they played an average game. They had a PDO of 95.2 and their oZS percentage was 62.5%. The Oilers notched 3 goals of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing and scored 2 out of those opportunities. As for their opponent, the Canucks had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to take advantage of it. Edmonton allowed 32 shots on goal and the Canucks racked up a total of 4 penalty minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+137)
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Additional Resources:
Edmonton Oilers - Twitter
Ottawa Senators - Twitter