Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks 11/16/2019

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, November 16, 2019

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSGB/CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+171) Sabres (-190)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Anders Nilsson and the Ottawa Senators (7-10-1, 8th in the Atlantic Division) head to KeyBank Center on Saturday where they'll take on the Buffalo Sabres (9-6-3, 5th in the Atlantic Division). The Sabres open this matchup at -190 while the Senators are priced at +171. The O/U opens at 6.5. The Senators cover 38.9% of the time, having gone 7-11 SU. Buffalo is covering 47.1% of the time, going 8-9 straight up.

The Ottawa Senators come into the game holding a record of 7 victories and 10 defeats, putting them at 8th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have converted a total of 51 goals which is 13th in the Eastern Conference and 24th in the league. Their goal differential is -9, putting them at 25th in the league. The Senators have a total of 15 points, which is 28th in the league and 15th in the East. In the matter of shots at the opposition, they have a total of 549 which is 11th in the East and 23rd in the league. As a team, Ottawa has compiled a total of 385 hits which means they have an average of 21.4 per game. They have a total of 210 blocks for the season. The man looking after the goal for Ottawa is Anders Nilsson from Park Ridge, Illinois. He is 29 years old and has totaled 483 minutes defending the net this year. Nilsson is giving up 2.98 goals against average which has him ranked 12th in the Eastern Conference and 27th in the NHL among goalies. Over the course of this season, he's surrendered 24 goals. He has a save % of .921 which has him ranked 3rd in the Eastern Conference.

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The Ottawa Senators were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 2 victory over the New Jersey Devils in their previous contest. The Senators had a good offensive output in this win. In this outing, they earned a goal on 4 of the 25 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 1 power play chance but weren't able to notch a goal in these power play chances. Ottawa ended up with 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 41 and the Corsi against was 33 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 55.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 34 while the Fenwick against sat at 26, telling us they have a rate of 56.7%. They earned 22 face-off wins and lost 18 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 43.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 108.2 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the New Jersey Devils tallied 23 shots. They finished with a total of 2 minutes in the box and they tallied 3 power play attempts.

The Sabres will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they sit with 9 wins and 6 defeats. When looking at goal differential, they are sitting 10th in the East and 17th in the NHL with +1. They have compiled a total of 53 goals for the year which is good for 11th in the Eastern Conference. Buffalo has a team save % of .912 which currently has them ranked 9th in the NHL, meaning chances to score may be limited. They are shooting 9.7% which is good for 10th in the East. In goal for Buffalo is Carter Hutton who is having a marginal year by surrendering 2.62 goals against average and that places him 6th among Eastern Conference goalies and 16th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 664 mins he's played this season, he has allowed 29 goals. He holds a save percentage of .913, which has him ranked 9th among Eastern Conference goalies and 22nd among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Buffalo Sabres opposed the Carolina Hurricanes in a matchup where the Sabres went home in defeat by a mark of 5 - 4. For this game, Buffalo wound up with a 45.5% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 30 and their opponent having a Corsi of 36. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 48.1% by earning a Fenwick of 26 and the Hurricanes having a 28 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Buffalo had and they showed up in this game. Their PDO at even strength was 104.8 and they earned an oZS percentage of 59.6%. The Sabres scored 4 goals of the 33 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one but didn't score a goal. Concerning their opponent, the Hurricanes had 3 power play attempts and used that advantage to score 2 goals. Buffalo gave up 29 shots on goal and the Hurricanes racked up a total of 8 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+171)

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