Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 11/7/2019

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Pepsi Center

Pepsi Center is the venue where Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (8-5-2, 3rd in the Central Division) will take on the Nashville Predators (9-4-2, 2nd in the Central Division) on Thursday. The Avalanche open this matchup at +101 while the Predators are priced at -111. The over/under is set at 12. The Predators cover 60.0% of the time, having gone 9-6 SU. Colorado covers 53.3% of the time, going 8-7 straight up.

The Nashville Predators head into this game holding a record of 9 wins and 4 losses, which puts them at 2nd in the Central Division. During the year thus far, they have earned a total of 60 goals which puts them at 1st in the conference and 2nd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +18, which puts them at 2nd in the NHL. The Predators currently have a total of 20 points, which puts them at 8th in the NHL and 4th in the West. Regarding shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 497 which puts them at 7th in the conference and 11th in the NHL. As a group, Nashville has racked up a total of 177 hits which means they have an average of 11.8 per contest. They currently have a total of 147 blocks for the year. Looking after the goal for Nashville is Pekka Rinne from Kempele, Finland. He is 37 years old and has racked up 608 minutes protecting the net this year. Rinne is conceding 2.07 goals against average which has him placed 2nd in the Western Conference and 4th in the NHL among goaltenders. Over the course of this season, he's surrendered 21 goals. He's earned a save % of .923 which has him placed 8th in the Western Conference.

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The Nashville Predators were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6 - 1 win over the Detroit Red Wings in their previous game. The Predators had a impressive offensive output in this victory. For this outing, they netted 6 out of the 26 shots they attempted. They also had 4 power play opportunities and were able to net 2 goals out of those attempts. Nashville racked up a total of 11 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Predators was 37 and the Corsi against was 29 giving them a Corsi percentage of 56.1%. Their Fenwick was 25 and the Fenwick against was 21, telling us they have a rate of 54.3%. They took 20 face-off wins and were beaten on 23 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 57.6% and they had a PDO of 119.1 for this matchup. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Detroit Red Wings tallied a total of 24 shots. They had 13 minutes in the box and they notched 3 power play opportunities.

The Avalanche are the team looking to add points to their total and for the year they have 8 wins and 5 defeats. When talking about goal differential, they are sitting 4th in the conference and 10th in the league with +6. They currently have a total of 49 goals for the year which is good for 4th in the conference. Colorado has a team save percentage of .915 which currently has them ranked 9th in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They are shooting 10.1% which is good for 4th in the conference. In net for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer who is having an average campaign by surrendering 2.80 goals per game and that places him 14th in the West and 21st in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 664 minutes he's played this season, he's surrendered 31 goals. He holds a save percentage of .915, which has him sitting 14th in the West and 22nd in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Colorado Avalanche squared up with the Dallas Stars in a game where the Avalanche ended up taking the loss by a score of 4 - 1. While out there on the ice, Colorado went home with a 55.0% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 33 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 27. Their Fenwick percentage was 52.3% with a Fenwick of 23 and the Stars ending the game with a 21 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado played and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. They had a PDO at even strength of 82.2 and their oZS percentage was 66.9%. The Avalanche netted 1 goal out of the 37 shots on goal they tried. They had 8 power play chances in this one but were not able to net one. In discussing the opposition, the Stars had 7 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Colorado allowed 38 shots on goal and the Stars had a total of 16 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nashville (-111)

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