Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Hockey Betting Tips and Predictions 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Montreal Canadiens head to Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Canadiens at +111 and the Maple Leafs at -123.

Montreal had a record of 44-30-8 last year and away from home they had a record of 19-18-4-0. They were 4th in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 246 goals and surrendered 236 goals for a point differential of +10. For the year they had an ATS mark of 41-38 and an over/under record of 34-44-4. Toronto finished with a record of 46-28-8 including 14-10-4-1 on home ice last year. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 286 goals and gave up 249 for a goal differential of +37. Their record against the spread was 46-35 while their over/under mark was 40-38-4.

Valuable Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends

The Montreal Canadiens were 41-38 straight up last year

The Montreal Canadiens were 34-44-4 against the over/under last season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 46-35 straight up last year

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 40-38-4 against the over/under last season

Key Montreal Canadiens Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

10/01/19 D Travis Dermott Shoulder is out indefinitely
09/30/19 C Zach Hyman Knee IR Early Nov

Player Spotlight

Carey Price had 35 wins and 24 losses last season in goal for the Canadiens. He had 1,952 shots against him and he surrendered 161 goals. He made 1,791 stops for a save percentage of 92%. Tomas Tatar scored 58 total points last year for the Canadiens. He had 25 goals last season with 195 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 13%. He had a total of 33 assists on the year and averaged 16.4 minutes played per contest. Max Domi averaged 17.4 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 14% by tallying 28 goals on 203 attempts. He had 44 assists giving him a total of 72 points on the year.

Player Spotlight

Kasperi Kapanen had 44 total points last season for the Maple Leafs. He had 20 goals last year with 174 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He had a total of 24 assists on the year and averaged 16.6 minutes played per contest. Frederik Andersen had 36 wins and 16 losses last season in net for the Maple Leafs. He had 1,958 shots against him and he gave up 162 goals. He made 1,796 saves for a save percentage of 92%. John Tavares averaged 19.1 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 47 goals on 286 attempts. He had 41 assists giving him a total of 88 points on the year.

Useful Team Statistics

The Canadiens gave up 241 power play opportunities and surrendered 46 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81% last season. That was 12th in the league. They averaged 34 shots per contest and as a team shot 8.80% for the year. They allowed 31 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 91%, ranking them 11th in the NHL at stopping the puck. The Canadiens were 14th overall with 96 total points last year. They were 13th in the league with 246 goals and 19th in goals allowed with 236. They had 234 power play chances and scored 31 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 13%. That was 30th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Maple Leafs were 4th with a total of 286 goals scored while they were 12th with 249 goals surrendered last season. They averaged 33 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 10.45%. As a unit they gave up 33 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 91%, putting them 10th in the league. The Maple Leafs had a total of 100 points last season, which was 7th in the NHL. They had 46 power play goals on 209 chances for a percentage of 22%. That was 8th overall. They gave up 202 power play opportunities and surrendered 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, ranking 19th when short-handed.

Advanced Statistics

Montreal is 5th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 53%, as they've attempted 5,223 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,628 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.6% as they have 3,830 attempts while they have given up 3,458 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 6th in the league. The Canadiens start possessions in the offensive zone 52.1% of the time, which is 10th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.9% for the season. That is 22nd overall in the NHL. They have 2,437 face-off wins compared to 2,495 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.4%. That ranks them 21st in the league. On defense Montreal has 2,203 hits and they have blocked 1,170 shots from the opposition, putting them 15th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.7% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 2,629 face-off wins compared to 2,330 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,421 hits and they have blocked 1,113 shots from the opposition, which is 23rd in the league. Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.8% as they've attempted 5,328 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,960 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.8% ranks 11th as they have 3,974 attempts while they have given up 3,847 shots on the defensive end.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Guy's Pick: Take Montreal +111 and over 6 total goals

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