Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Picks & Predictions 10/9/2019

Wednesday, October 9, 2019

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Montreal Canadiens travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Wednesday, October 9, 2019.

Montreal has a record of 1-0-1 this season and on the road they have a record of 1-0-1-1. They are 5th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 8 goals and given up 8 goals so far this season. For the season they have an ATS record of 0-1 and an over/under record of 2-0-0. Buffalo is 2-0-1. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 13 goals and surrendered 7 for a goal differential of +6. Their record against the spread is 2-1 while their over/under record is 2-1-0.

Valuable Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends

The Montreal Canadiens are 0-1 straight up this year

The Montreal Canadiens are 2-0-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 2-1 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 2-1-0 against the over/under this season

The Montreal Canadiens were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6 - 5 win against the Toronto Maple Leafs their last time out. The Canadiens had a impressive offensive performance in the victory. For this game, they netted 6 out of the 42 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 3 power play attempts and notched 1 goal out of those chances. Montreal racked up 10 penalty minutes for this outing. The Corsi for the Canadiens was 59 and the Corsi against was 63 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 48.4%. Their Fenwick was 48 and the Fenwick against was 50, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 49.0%. They won 23 face-off wins and lost 29 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 56.5% and they had a PDO at even strength of 96.8 for this matchup. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Toronto Maple Leafs racked up 37 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 6 penalty mins and they earned a total of 5 power play chances.

The Buffalo Sabres faced the Columbus Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Sabres ended up losing by a final score of 4 - 3. For this game, Buffalo went home with a 39.8% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 39 while their opponent had a Corsi of 59. Their Fenwick rate came in at 32.9% by notching a Fenwick of 23 and the Blue Jackets having earned a 47 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Buffalo had and it tells us they had an average game overall. Their PDO at even strength was 102.9 and their percentage of oZS was 35.9%. The Sabres netted 3 goals out of the 18 shots on goal they pursued. They had 4 power play opportunities in this game and were able to notch 2 out of those attempts. On the other side of the ice, the Blue Jackets had 3 power play opportunities and came through by scoring 2 goals of those opportunities. Buffalo conceded 44 shots on goal and the Blue Jackets earned a total of 8 penalty mins.

Useful Team Statistics

The Canadiens have 3 total points this season, which ranks them 14th in the NHL. They are 11th in the league in goals scored with 8 while they've given up 8 goals, ranking them 11th overall. They have had 6 power play opportunities and have scored 2 goals on those chances for a percentage of 33%. That is 5th in the NHL. The Canadiens have allowed 8 power play opportunities and have given up 2 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 75%, putting them 18th in the league when short-handed. They average 39 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.26% for the season. They allow 40 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%. That puts them 18th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres are 3rd in the NHL with a total of 5 points this year. They have 6 power play goals on 10 opportunities for a percentage of 60%. That ranks them 1st in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 10 power play opportunities and have given up 3 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 70%. That is 21st in the NHL. As a team, the Sabres are 2nd in the league with 13 goals scored while they've given up 7 goals, which is 13th overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 13.68%. As a team they give up 31 shots per game and have a save percentage of 93%. That is 9th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Montreal is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 47.3%, as they've attempted 105 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 117 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.3% as they have 85 attempts while they have given up 91 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 18th in the league. The Canadiens start possessions in the offensive zone 42.2% of the time, which is 25th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 57.8% for the season. That is 7th overall in the NHL. They have 45 face-off wins compared to 51 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 46.9%. That ranks them 24th in the league. On defense Montreal has 37 hits and they have blocked 26 shots from the opposition, putting them 25th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 5th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 57.9% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 42.1% for the season, which is 27th in the NHL. They have 79 face-off wins compared to 93 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 45.9%. That is 26th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 81 hits and they have blocked 41 shots from the opposition, which is 11th in the league. Buffalo is 15th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.3% as they've attempted 160 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 171 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 45.1% ranks 22nd as they have 107 attempts while they have given up 130 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Canadiens/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo

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