Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Minnesota Wild travel to Pepsi Center to play the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Wild at +158 and the Avalanche at -175.

Minnesota had a record of 37-36-9 last season and on the road they had a record of 21-18-2-2. They finished 7th in the Central Division. They scored 210 goals and gave up 233 goals for a point differential of -23. For the season they had an ATS record of 36-44 and an over/under record of 31-45-6. Colorado finished with a record of 38-30-14 including 12-9-5-1 at home last season. They were 5th in the Central Division. They scored 258 goals and surrendered 244 for a goal differential of +14. Their record against the spread was 36-43 while their over/under record was 41-42-0.

Valuable Minnesota Wild Betting Trends

The Minnesota Wild were 36-44 straight up last year

The Minnesota Wild were 31-45-6 against the over/under last season

Important Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

The Colorado Avalanche were 36-43 straight up last year

The Colorado Avalanche were 41-42-0 against the over/under last season

Key Minnesota Wild Injuries

10/02/19 D Greg Pateryn Abdominal IR (10/02)

Key Colorado Avalanche Injuries

10/02/19 D Ian Cole Hip IR (09/30)

Player Spotlight

Eric Staal accumulated 52 total points last season for the Wild. He had 22 goals last year with 215 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He had a total of 30 assists on the season and averaged 18.1 minutes played per game. Jason Zucker averaged 17.1 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 21 goals on 214 shots. He had 21 assists giving him a total of 42 points on the season. Devan Dubnyk had 31 wins and 28 losses last season in net for the Wild. He had 1,877 shots against him and he gave up 163 goals. He made 1,714 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Gabriel Landeskog scored 75 total points last year for the Avalanche. He had 34 goals last season with 243 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He had a total of 41 assists on the season and averaged 21.2 minutes played per game. Nathan MacKinnon averaged 22.1 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 41 goals on 365 shots. He had 58 assists giving him a total of 99 points on the season. Philipp Grubauer had 18 wins and 9 losses last year in goal for the Avalanche. He had 1,071 shots against him and he surrendered 89 goals. He made 982 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Wild had 83 total points last season, which ranked them 21st in the NHL. They were 27th in the league in goals scored with 210 while they gave up 233 goals, ranking them 20th overall. They had 241 power play opportunities and scored 49 goals on those chances for a percentage of 20%. That was 14th in the NHL. The Wild allowed 240 power play opportunities and gave up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, putting them 7th in the league when short-handed. They averaged 31 shots per game and as a team shot 8.18% for the season. They allowed 30 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 90%. That put them 20th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Avalanche were 17th in the NHL with a total of 90 points last year. They had 63 power play goals on 286 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranked them 7th in the league as a power play unit. They allowed 272 power play opportunities and gave up 58 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 79%. That was 25th in the NHL. As a team, the Avalanche were 10th in the league with 258 goals scored while they gave up 244 goals, which was 16th overall. They averaged 33 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 9.64%. As a team they gave up 32 shots per game and had a save percentage of 91%. That was 12th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Minnesota is 14th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.3%, as they've attempted 4,705 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,643 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.8% as they have 3,531 attempts while they have given up 3,422 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Wild start possessions in the offensive zone 51.4% of the time, which is 15th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.6% for the season. That is 18th overall in the NHL. They have 2,404 face-off wins compared to 2,465 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.4%. That ranks them 22nd in the league. On defense Minnesota has 1,602 hits and they have blocked 1,221 shots from the opposition, putting them 10th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Avalanche are 6th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 53.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 46.3% for the season, which is 26th in the NHL. They have 2,346 face-off wins compared to 2,529 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.1%. That is 26th in the league. On defense Colorado has 1,699 hits and they have blocked 1,324 shots from the opposition, which is 2nd in the league. Colorado is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.4% as they've attempted 4,738 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,861 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.1% ranks 15th as they have 3,546 attempts while they have given up 3,537 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Wild/Avalanche NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Colorado -175

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