Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks & Predictions 11/19/2019

Game: Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSGB/FSN

Odds/Point Spread: Wild (+113) Sabres (-125)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Carter Hutton and the Buffalo Sabres (10-7-3, 4th in the Atlantic Division) play the Minnesota Wild (7-11-2, 7th in the Central Division) at KeyBank Center on Tuesday, November 19, 2019. The Sabres open this matchup at -125 while the Wild are priced at +113. The total is set at 6. The Wild cover 35.0% of the time, having gone 7-13 SU. The Sabres cover 47.4% of the time, going 9-10 straight up.

The Minnesota Wild come into the game with a record of 7 wins and 11 losses, which is good for 7th in the Central Division. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 53 goals which ranks 14th in the Western Conference and 27th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -16, which is good for 27th in the NHL. The Wild currently have a total of 16 pts, which ranks 31st in the NHL and 15th in the West. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 579 which ranks 15th in the conference and 27th in the NHL. As a group, Minnesota currently has a total of 282 hits which means they are averaging 14.1 per contest. They currently have a total of 203 blocks for this season. The goalie for Minnesota is Devan Dubnyk from Regina, Saskatchewan. He is 33 years old and has played a total of 751 minutes in net for the season. Dubnyk is surrendering 3.35 GAA which ranks him 20th among Western Conference goaltenders and 40th in the NHL. So far this year, he's given up 42 goals. He's earned a save % of .893 which ranks him 17th among Western Conference goaltenders.

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The Minnesota Wild had a rough game after their 4 - 3 defeat to the Carolina Hurricanes in their last contest. The Wild had a middle of the road offensive performance in the defeat. For this matchup, they converted 3 of the 35 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 3 power play chances but didn't net one. Minnesota racked up 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Wild sat at 39 and the Corsi against was 31 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 55.7%. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against at even strength was 23, which tells us they had a rate of 55.8%. They won 24 face-off wins and lost 20 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 68.5% and they had a PDO of 84.1 for this matchup. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Carolina Hurricanes tallied 28 shots. They finished with 8 penalty mins and they notched 2 power play chances.

The Sabres will be the team across the ice and for the season they sit with 10 wins and 7 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they are currently sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference and 19th in the league with 0. They currently have a total of 58 goals for this season which has them ranked at 10th in the conference. Buffalo has a save percentage as a team of .910 which has them sitting 10th in the league, which tells us there should be some opportunities to score. They have a shooting percentage of 9.4% putting them at 11th in the East. In goal for Buffalo is Carter Hutton who is having an average season by giving up 2.73 goals per contest and that ranks him 9th among Eastern Conference goalies and 20th in the NHL among goalies. In the 724 minutes he has played, he has surrendered 33 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .909, which places him at 10th among Eastern Conference goalies and 25th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Buffalo Sabres played the Chicago Blackhawks in an outing where the Sabres took a loss by a mark of 4 - 1. For this game, Buffalo had a 45.9% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 28 and the other team having a Corsi of 33. Their Fenwick percentage was 43.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 20 and the Blackhawks ending the game with a 26 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Buffalo played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO at even strength was 84.1 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 76.9%. The Sabres notched 1 goal out of the 34 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing but were not able to net one. In discussing the opposition, the Blackhawks had 5 power play opportunities and used that advantage to score 1 goal. Buffalo conceded 27 shots on goal and the Blackhawks racked up 13 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Minnesota (+113)

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