Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Hockey Betting Tips and Predictions 10/3/2019

Thursday, October 3, 2019

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Florida Panthers head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, October 3, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Panthers at +198 and the Lightning at +112.

Florida had a record of 36-32-14 last year and away from home they had a record of 16-19-6-5. They were 5th in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 264 goals and surrendered 273 goals for a point differential of -9. For the year they had an ATS mark of 33-45 and an over/under record of 47-28-7. Tampa Bay finished with a record of 62-16-4 including 23-5-0-0 on home ice last year. They were 1st in the Atlantic Division. They scored 319 goals and gave up 221 for a goal differential of +98. Their record against the spread was 55-20 while their over/under mark was 44-35-3.

Valuable Florida Panthers Betting Trends

The Florida Panthers were 33-45 straight up last year

The Florida Panthers were 47-28-7 against the over/under last season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 55-20 straight up last year

The Tampa Bay Lightning were 44-35-3 against the over/under last season

Key Florida Panthers Injuries

9/27/2019 Brett Connolly RW Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Oct 3

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

9/26/2019 Daniel Walcott D Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/23/2019 Brayden Point C Hip Expected to be out until at least Oct 23

Player Spotlight

Sergei Bobrovsky had 37 wins and 24 losses last season in goal for the Panthers. He had 1,756 shots against him and he surrendered 153 goals. He made 1,603 stops for a save percentage of 91%. Evgenii Dadonov scored 70 total points last year for the Panthers. He had 28 goals last season with 195 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He had a total of 42 assists on the year and averaged 18.4 minutes played per contest. Aleksander Barkov averaged 22.4 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by tallying 35 goals on 206 attempts. He had 61 assists giving him a total of 96 points on the year.

Player Spotlight

Ondrej Palat had 34 total points last season for the Lightning. He had 8 goals last year with 100 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He had a total of 26 assists on the year and averaged 14.9 minutes played per contest. Andrei Vasilevskiy had 39 wins and 10 losses last season in net for the Lightning. He had 1,713 shots against him and he gave up 128 goals. He made 1,585 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Nikita Kucherov averaged 20 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 41 goals on 246 attempts. He had 87 assists giving him a total of 128 points on the year.

Useful Team Statistics

The Panthers gave up 230 power play opportunities and surrendered 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81% last season. That was 10th in the league. They averaged 33 shots per contest and as a team shot 9.76% for the year. They allowed 31 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 89%, ranking them 30th in the NHL at stopping the puck. The Panthers were 18th overall with 86 total points last year. They were 9th in the league with 264 goals and 4th in goals allowed with 273. They had 269 power play chances and scored 72 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 27%. That was 2nd in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Lightning were 1st with a total of 319 goals scored while they were 24th with 221 goals surrendered last season. They averaged 32 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 12.18%. As a unit they gave up 32 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 92%, putting them 3rd in the league. The Lightning had a total of 128 points last season, which was 1st in the NHL. They had 74 power play goals on 262 chances for a percentage of 28%. That was 1st overall. They gave up 267 power play opportunities and surrendered 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85%, ranking 1st when short-handed.

Advanced Statistics

Florida is 11th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.6%, as they've attempted 4,741 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,635 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 51.1% as they have 3,658 attempts while they have given up 3,497 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 10th in the league. The Panthers start possessions in the offensive zone 52.2% of the time, which is 9th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.8% for the season. That is 23rd overall in the NHL. They have 2,527 face-off wins compared to 2,545 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.8%. That ranks them 17th in the league. On defense Florida has 1,901 hits and they have blocked 1,138 shots from the opposition, putting them 18th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 19th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 50% for the season, which is 13th in the NHL. They have 2,520 face-off wins compared to 2,401 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.2%. That is 8th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 2,116 hits and they have blocked 1,125 shots from the opposition, which is 20th in the league. Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.3% as they've attempted 4,716 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,666 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.4% ranks 13th as they have 3,604 attempts while they have given up 3,541 shots on the defensive end.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida +198 and over 5.5 total goals

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