Florida Panthers vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks & Predictions 10/11/2019

Friday, October 11, 2019

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Florida Panthers travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Friday, October 11, 2019.

Florida has a record of 1-2-0 this season and on the road they have a record of 0-1-0-0. They are 7th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 9 goals and given up 14 goals for a point differential of -5. For the season they have an ATS record of 1-2 and an over/under record of 3-0-0. Buffalo is 3-0-1 including 1-0-0-0 at home this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 18 goals and surrendered 11 for a goal differential of +7. Their record against the spread is 3-1 while their over/under record is 3-1-0.

Valuable Florida Panthers Betting Trends

The Florida Panthers are 1-2 straight up this year

The Florida Panthers are 3-0-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 3-1 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 3-1-0 against the over/under this season

The Florida Panthers were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 6 - 3 defeat to the Carolina Hurricanes in their last contest. The Panthers had a middle of the road offensive outing in the defeat. In this game, they netted 3 out of the 50 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 6 power play chances and were able to notch 2 goals out of those chances. Florida ended up with a total of 10 penalty minutes in this outing. The Corsi for the Panthers was 77 and the Corsi against at even strength was 68 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 53.1%. Their Fenwick sat at 59 and the Fenwick against sat at 50, which gave them a rate of 54.1%. They earned 42 face-off wins and were beaten on 45 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 58.5% and they had a PDO of 87.8 in this game. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Carolina Hurricanes racked up 35 shots. They finished with 16 minutes in the box and they earned 3 power play chances.

The Buffalo Sabres played the Montreal Canadiens in a game where the Sabres earned a victory by a final of 5 - 4. In this outing, Buffalo wound up with a 31.0% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 36 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 80. They had a Fenwick percentage of 28.1% by notching a Fenwick of 27 and the Canadiens earning a 69 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Buffalo played and they looked good in this game. Their PDO was 102.5 and their oZS percentage was 44.8%. The Sabres notched 5 goals out of the 39 shots on goal they took. They had 5 power play chances in this outing and were able to notch 2 out of those opportunities. As for the opposition, the Canadiens had 3 power play chances and went on to score 1 goal on that chance. Buffalo gave way to 27 shots on goal and the Canadiens ended up with 10 penalty minutes.

Useful Team Statistics

The Panthers have 2 total points this season, which ranks them 19th in the NHL. They are 16th in the league in goals scored with 9 while they've given up 14 goals, ranking them 5th overall. They have had 13 power play opportunities and have scored 4 goals on those chances for a percentage of 31%. That is 9th in the NHL. The Panthers have allowed 7 power play opportunities and have given up 2 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 71%, putting them 19th in the league when short-handed. They average 38 shots per game and as a team shoot 7.83% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 86%. That puts them 27th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres are 2nd in the NHL with a total of 7 points this year. They have 8 power play goals on 15 opportunities for a percentage of 53%. That ranks them 2nd in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 13 power play opportunities and have given up 4 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 69%. That is 22nd in the NHL. As a team, the Sabres are 1st in the league with 18 goals scored while they've given up 11 goals, which is 10th overall. They average 34 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 13.43%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 14th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Florida is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.1%, as they've attempted 135 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 140 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 51.5% as they have 106 attempts while they have given up 100 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 13th in the league. The Panthers start possessions in the offensive zone 54% of the time, which is 9th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46% for the season. That is 23rd overall in the NHL. They have 79 face-off wins compared to 97 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 44.9%. That ranks them 27th in the league. On defense Florida has 64 hits and they have blocked 40 shots from the opposition, putting them 19th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 8th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 54.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 45.3% for the season, which is 24th in the NHL. They have 98 face-off wins compared to 107 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.8%. That is 23rd in the league. On defense Buffalo has 71 hits and they have blocked 48 shots from the opposition, which is 8th in the league. Buffalo is 23rd in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 46.5% as they've attempted 200 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 230 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 44% ranks 24th as they have 143 attempts while they have given up 182 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo

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