Edmonton Oilers vs Winnipeg Jets Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 10/20/2019

Sunday, October 20, 2019

Bell MTS Place

Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (4-5-0, 4th in the Central Division) host the Edmonton Oilers (7-1-0, 1st in the Pacific Division) at Bell MTS Place on Sunday, October 20, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Oilers priced at +107 and the Jets are at -118. The O/U opens at 6. The Oilers cover 85.7% of the time, having gone 6-1 SU. The Jets cover 37.5% of the time, going 3-5 straight up.

The Edmonton Oilers come into this matchup holding a record of 7 victories and 1 defeat, ranking them 1st in the Pacific Division. So far this season, they have earned a total of 30 goals which ranks them 2nd in the West and 5th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +10, ranking them 4th in the NHL. The Oilers have compiled a total of 14 pts, which ranks them 1st in the NHL and 1st in the conference. Regarding shots at the opposing goalie, they have compiled a total of 216 which ranks them 9th in the conference and 18th in the NHL. As a unit, Edmonton has collected a total of 137 hits which has them averaging 17.1 per contest. They have compiled a total of 96 blocks for the year. The man protecting the net for Edmonton is Mike Smith from Kingston, Ontario. He is 37 years old and has been on the ice a total of 239 mins defending the goal for the season. Smith is allowing an average of 2.51 goals per contest which ranks him 7th among Western Conference goalies and 12th in the NHL among goaltenders. During this season, he's given up 10 goals. He holds a save percentage of .917 which ranks him 10th among Western Conference goalies.

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The Edmonton Oilers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2 - 1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings in their previous game. The Oilers didn't have a great showing offensively in this victory. While out there on the ice, they scored on 2 of the 37 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 2 power play chances but didn't net one. Edmonton ended up with a total of 2 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Oilers sat at 48 and the Corsi against was 38 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 55.8%. Their Fenwick sat at 37 and the Fenwick against was 26, which tells us they had a rate of 58.7%. They earned 24 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 23 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 54.3% and they had a PDO of 101.3 for this one. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Detroit Red Wings tallied a total of 26 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 4 penalty minutes and they earned a total of 1 power play chance.

The Jets will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 4 wins and 5 defeats. In the matter of goal differential, they are sitting 12th in the Western Conference and 26th in the NHL with -7. They have compiled a total of 26 goals for this season which has them at 5th in the Western Conference. Winnipeg has a save % as a team of .890 which has them sitting 23rd in the NHL, which means scoring chances could be plentiful if they are aggressive. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.6% which is good for 10th in the conference. In goal for Winnipeg is Connor Hellebuyck who is having an ok season by surrendering 2.70 GAA and that places him 9th among West goalies and 21st in the NHL. In the 356 mins he's been on the ice this year, he has given up 16 goals. His save percentage is .919, which has him sitting 8th among West goalies and 16th in the NHL.

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The Winnipeg Jets faced the New York Islanders in an outing where the Jets ended up taking the loss by a final score of 3 - 1. For this outing, Winnipeg went home with a 59.3% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 54 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 37. Their Fenwick rate came in at 56.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 41 and the Islanders having a 32 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Winnipeg had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. They had a PDO at even strength of 91.7 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 69.0%. The Jets scored 1 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play chances in this one and scored 1 out of those tries. Regarding the opposition, the Islanders had 1 power play chance and went on to score 1 goal on that chance. Winnipeg allowed 26 shots on goal and the Islanders had 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (+107)

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