Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 12/21/19 NHL Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
TV: FSDT/CBC
Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+248) Maple Leafs (-280)
Total/Over-Under: 6.5
Scotiabank Arena is the venue where Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-14-4, 5th in the Atlantic Division) will take on the Detroit Red Wings (9-24-3, 8th in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. The Red Wings open this contest at +248 while the Maple Leafs are coming in at -280. The total is set at 6.5. The Red Wings are covering 25.0% of the time, having gone 9-27 SU. Toronto covers 47.1% of the time, going 16-18 straight up.
The Detroit Red Wings head into this game holding a record of 9 wins and 24 defeats, which is good for 8th in the Atlantic Division. Thus far in the season, they have racked up a total of 79 goals which has them ranked at 15th in the conference and 30th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -61, which is good for 31st in the NHL. The Red Wings currently have a total of 21 points, which has them ranked at 31st in the NHL and 16th in the Eastern Conference. In terms of shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 1,019 which has them ranked at 13th in the conference and 28th in the NHL. As a group, Detroit has earned a total of 709 hits which means they have an average of 19.7 per game. They currently have a total of 393 blocks for this year. The goalie for Detroit is Jonathan Bernier from Pori, Finland. He is 31 years old and has racked up 1,234 mins defending the goal for the season. Bernier is allowing 3.26 GAA which has him ranked 27th in the Eastern Conference and 56th in the NHL among goaltenders. During this year, he's surrendered 67 goals. His save % is .896 which has him ranked 27th in the Eastern Conference.
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The Detroit Red Wings were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5 - 3 defeat to the Columbus Blue Jackets in their last game. The Red Wings offense didn't overly impress in the defeat. In this outing, they scored on 3 of the 21 shots they tried. In addition, they had 3 power play chances and scored 1 goal out of those attempts. Detroit had a total of 4 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Red Wings was 26 and the Corsi against was 53 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 32.9%. Their Fenwick was 23 while the Fenwick against sat at 45, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 33.8%. They won 22 face-off wins and were beaten on 31 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 32.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.3 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Columbus Blue Jackets earned a total of 39 shots. They had a total of 6 minutes in the box and they notched 2 power play attempts.
The Maple Leafs will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the current year they sit with 17 victories and 14 losses. Regarding goal differential, they currently sit 9th in the conference and 14th in the league with +4. They currently have a total of 114 goals for this season which has them sitting at 4th in the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a team save percentage of .904 which has them sitting 18th in the league, which tells us there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.8% which puts them at 8th in the Eastern Conference. In net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen who is having an average year by surrendering 2.51 goals per game and that has him ranked 10th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 16th in the NHL among goalies. In the 1,677 minutes he's played, he has surrendered 70 goals. His save % is .920, which has him placed 8th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 15th in the NHL among goalies.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs opposed the Buffalo Sabres in an outing where the Maple Leafs took home the win by a final of 5 - 3. In their game, Toronto wound up with a 48.0% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 49 and the other team having a Corsi of 53. Their Fenwick percentage was 50.0% with a Fenwick of 40 and the Sabres having earned a 40 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. They had a PDO of 107.1 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 60.9%. The Maple Leafs scored 5 goals of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this one but didn't score a goal. Concerning the opposition, the Sabres had 2 power play opportunities and came through by scoring 1 goal. Toronto conceded 30 shots on goal and the Sabres ended up with a total of 2 minutes in the box.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Detroit (+248)
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Additional Resources:
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