Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 3/9/2019

Saturday, March 9, 2019

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Detroit Red Wings travel to Amalie Arena to play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday, March 9, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Red Wings at +350 and the Lightning at -530.

Detroit has a record of 24-33-10 this season. They are 7th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 182 goals and given up 224 goals for a point differential of -42. For the season they have an ATS record of 24-43-0 and an over/under record of 32-33-0. Tampa Bay is 51-13-4 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 257 goals and surrendered 178 for a goal differential of +79. Their record against the spread is 51-17-0 while their over/under record is 34-31-0.

Valuable Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends

The Detroit Red Wings are 24-43-0 straight up this year

The Detroit Red Wings are 32-33-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 51-17-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 34-31-0 against the over/under this season

Key Detroit Red Wings Injuries

03/07/19 C Dylan Larkin Back is questionable Saturday vs Tampa Bay
03/07/19 D Mike Green Illness is out indefinitely

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Dylan Larkin has accumulated 62 total points this season for the Red Wings. He has 27 goals this year with 247 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 35 assists on the season and averages 21.9 minutes played per game. Andreas Athanasiou averages 16.5 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 23 goals on 174 shots. He has 18 assists, giving him a total of 41 points on the season. Jimmy Howard has 18 wins and 18 losses this season in net for the Red Wings. He has 1,362 shots against him and he's given up 124 goals. He's made 1,238 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Brayden Point has scored 81 total points this year for the Lightning. He has 37 goals this season with 166 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 22%. He has a total of 44 assists on the season and averages 18.8 minutes played per game. Nikita Kucherov averages 19.7 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 31 goals on 200 shots. He has 77 assists, giving him a total of 108 points on the season. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 31 wins and 8 losses this year in goal for the Lightning. He has 1,405 shots against him and he's surrendered 97 goals. He's made 1,308 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Red Wings have 58 total points this season, which ranks them 29th in the NHL. They are 26th in the league in goals scored with 182 while they've given up 224 goals, ranking them 4th overall. They have had 181 power play opportunities and have scored 30 goals on those chances for a percentage of 17%. That is 24th in the NHL. The Red Wings have allowed 203 power play opportunities and have given up 45 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, putting them 26th in the league when short-handed. They average 30 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.12% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%. That puts them 24th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the NHL with a total of 106 points this year. They have 65 power play goals on 224 opportunities for a percentage of 29%. That ranks them 1st in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 222 power play opportunities and have given up 32 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 86%. That is 1st in the NHL. As a team, the Lightning are 1st in the league with 257 goals scored while they've given up 178 goals, which is 27th overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.75%. As a team they give up 32 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%. That is 3rd in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 24th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.2%, as they've attempted 3,645 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,924 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 47.4% as they have 2,750 attempts while they have given up 3,047 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 28th in the league. The Red Wings start possessions in the offensive zone 49.6% of the time, which is 20th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50.4% for the season. That is 12th overall in the NHL. They have 2,163 face-off wins compared to 2,046 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.4%. That ranks them 7th in the league. On defense Detroit has 1,417 hits and they have blocked 877 shots from the opposition, putting them 28th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 19th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 50% for the season, which is 13th in the NHL. They have 2,085 face-off wins compared to 2,006 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51%. That is 10th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,725 hits and they have blocked 949 shots from the opposition, which is 19th in the league. Tampa Bay is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.5% as they've attempted 3,954 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,877 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.7% ranks 12th as they have 3,013 attempts while they have given up 2,928 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Red Wings/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay -530

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