Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks & Predictions 3/28/2019

Thursday, March 28, 2019

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Detroit Red Wings travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, March 28, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Red Wings at +110 and the Sabres at -135.

Detroit has a record of 28-38-10 this season. They are 7th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 203 goals and given up 253 goals for a point differential of -50. For the season they have an ATS record of 28-48-0 and an over/under record of 35-39-0. Buffalo is 31-36-9 this season. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 202 goals and surrendered 248 for a goal differential of -46. Their record against the spread is 31-45-0 while their over/under record is 40-33-0.

Valuable Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends

The Detroit Red Wings are 28-48-0 straight up this year

The Detroit Red Wings are 35-39-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 31-45-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 40-33-0 against the over/under this season

Key Detroit Red Wings Injuries

03/25/19 C Michael Rasmussen Upper Body is questionable Thursday vs Buffalo
03/25/19 LW Thomas Vanek Lower Body is questionable Thursday vs Buffalo
03/21/19 D Mike Green Illness is out for season
03/21/19 D Trevor Daley Upper Body is out indefinitely
03/18/19 LW Justin Abdelkader Foot is out indefinitely

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

03/26/19 D Matt Hunwick Upper Body is questionable Thursday vs Detroit
03/04/19 D Jake McCabe Upper Body is out 4-6 weeks

Player Spotlight

Andreas Athanasiou has accumulated 49 total points this season for the Red Wings. He has 29 goals this year with 202 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 20 assists on the season and averages 16.7 minutes played per game. Dylan Larkin averages 21.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 28 goals on 257 shots. He has 36 assists, giving him a total of 64 points on the season. Jimmy Howard has 20 wins and 20 losses this season in net for the Red Wings. He has 1,517 shots against him and he's given up 139 goals. He's made 1,378 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Sam Reinhart has scored 61 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 20 goals this season with 166 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 41 assists on the season and averages 18.9 minutes played per game. Jeff Skinner averages 18.6 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 37 goals on 252 shots. He has 22 assists, giving him a total of 59 points on the season. Carter Hutton has 17 wins and 23 losses this year in goal for the Sabres. He has 1,445 shots against him and he's surrendered 132 goals. He's made 1,313 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Red Wings have 66 total points this season, which ranks them 29th in the NHL. They are 24th in the league in goals scored with 203 while they've given up 253 goals, ranking them 5th overall. They have had 201 power play opportunities and have scored 33 goals on those chances for a percentage of 16%. That is 25th in the NHL. The Red Wings have allowed 229 power play opportunities and have given up 51 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, putting them 27th in the league when short-handed. They average 29 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.16% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%. That puts them 23rd in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres are 26th in the NHL with a total of 71 points this year. They have 40 power play goals on 220 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranks them 18th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 199 power play opportunities and have given up 39 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 17th in the NHL. As a team, the Sabres are 25th in the league with 202 goals scored while they've given up 248 goals, which is 8th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.14%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 22nd in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 28th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 47.1%, as they've attempted 4,053 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,548 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 46.3% as they have 3,047 attempts while they have given up 3,529 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 28th in the league. The Red Wings start possessions in the offensive zone 48.7% of the time, which is 22nd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.3% for the season. That is 8th overall in the NHL. They have 2,400 face-off wins compared to 2,313 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.9%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Detroit has 1,640 hits and they have blocked 1,019 shots from the opposition, putting them 24th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 17th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 2,172 face-off wins compared to 2,354 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48%. That is 27th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 1,445 hits and they have blocked 944 shots from the opposition, which is 31st in the league. Buffalo is 14th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50% as they've attempted 4,319 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,327 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.9% ranks 15th as they have 3,373 attempts while they have given up 3,383 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Red Wings/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo -135

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink