Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Expert NHL Picks 12/1/2019

Game: Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2019

Location: Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, MN

TV: FSW+/FSN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-110) Wild (+100)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Xcel Energy Center is the site where Alex Stalock and the Minnesota Wild (11-11-4, 6th in the Central Division) will play the Dallas Stars (15-10-2, 4th in the Central Division) on Sunday. The Wild open this matchup at +100 while the Stars are priced at -110. The over/under opens at 5.5. The Stars cover 53.9% of the time, having gone 14-12 SU. The Wild cover 42.3% of the time, going 11-15 straight up.

The Dallas Stars head into this game holding a record of 15 wins and 10 defeats, ranking them 4th in the Central Division. During the season thus far, they have converted a total of 72 goals which is 10th in the conference and 21st in the NHL. Their goal differential is +8, ranking them 11th in the NHL. The Stars have compiled a total of 32 pts, which is 11th in the NHL and 6th in the Western Conference. When looking at shots toward the net, they have compiled a total of 830 which is 6th in the Western Conference and 13th in the NHL. As a group, Dallas has racked up a total of 393 hits which means they have an average of 14.6 per contest. They have compiled a total of 317 blocks for the season. The man protecting the net for Dallas is Ben Bishop from Denver, Colorado. He is 33 years old and has been on the ice a total of 998 minutes in net for the season. Bishop is conceding 2.22 goals against average which puts him at 3rd among Western Conference goaltenders and 5th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's surrendered 37 goals. His save percentage is .928 which puts him at 5th among Western Conference goaltenders.

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The Dallas Stars will look to clean up some issues after taking a 3 - 1 defeat to the St. Louis Blues in their previous contest. The Stars offense left a lot to be desired in the defeat. In this outing, they finished 1 out of the 32 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 1 power play chance but weren't able to net one. Dallas earned a total of 4 penalty minutes while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Stars was 52 and the Corsi against at even strength was 51 which means they earned a Corsi percentage of 50.5%. Their Fenwick was 36 while the Fenwick against sat at 32, which means they had a rate of 52.9%. They took 27 face-off wins at even strength and lost 22 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 50.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 92.3 for this matchup. In discussing stats from the opponent, the St. Louis Blues tallied 40 shots. They had a total of 0 minutes in the box and they had 2 power play attempts.

The Wild will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 11 victories and 11 defeats. With reference to goal differential, they are ranked 11th in the conference and 23rd in the NHL with -8. They currently have a total of 76 goals for the year which has them at 7th in the Western Conference. Minnesota has a team save % of .897 which has them ranked 24th in the NHL, which tells us there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They are shooting 9.9% which is good for 5th in the West. In goal for Minnesota is Alex Stalock who is having an ok year by surrendering 2.74 goals against average and that places him 13th among West goalies and 22nd among goalies in the NHL. In the 745 minutes he has been on the ice this season, he has surrendered 34 goals. His save percentage is .911, which has him sitting 16th among West goalies and 25th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Minnesota Wild played the Ottawa Senators in a game where the Wild took home the victory by a final of 7 - 2. For this matchup, Minnesota went home with a 48.9% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 44 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 46. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 46.4% with a Fenwick of 32 and the Senators having a 37 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Minnesota played and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 115.9 and their percentage of oZS was 38.4%. The Wild netted 7 goals of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this one and were able to convert 1 out of those chances. On the other side of the ice, the Senators had 1 power play opportunity but were not able to score a goal. Minnesota gave up 35 shots on goal and the Senators earned 8 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Minnesota (+100)

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