Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Expert NHL Picks 10/6/2019

Sunday, October 6, 2019

Little Ceasars Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Dallas Stars head to Little Ceasars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings on Sunday, October 6, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Stars at -155 and the Red Wings at +123. Dallas lost 2-1 to Boston in their opener while Detroit still has yet to play a game.

Dallas had a record of 43-32-7 last year and away from home they had a record of 19-18-4-1. They were 4th in the Central Division. They tallied 209 goals and surrendered 200 goals for a point differential of +9. For the year they had an ATS mark of 41-39 and an over/under record of 24-50-8. Detroit finished with a record of 32-40-10 including 9-15-4-3 on home ice last year. They were 7th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 224 goals and gave up 272 for a goal differential of -48. Their record against the spread was 29-49 while their over/under mark was 38-42-2.

Valuable Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars were 41-39 straight up last year

The Dallas Stars were 24-50-8 against the over/under last season

Important Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends

The Detroit Red Wings were 29-49 straight up last year

The Detroit Red Wings were 38-42-2 against the over/under last season

Key Dallas Stars Injuries

10/04/19 LW Blake Comeau Lower Body IR (10/04)
10/04/19 C Jason Dickinson Lower Body IR (10/04)
10/04/19 D Roman Polak Head left last game, is doubtful Saturday vs St. Louis
09/30/19 RW Corey Perry Foot IR Mid Oct

Key Detroit Red Wings Injuries

10/03/19 LW Andreas Athanasiou Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Nashville
10/03/19 C Dylan Larkin Undisclosed is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Nashville

Player Spotlight

Tyler Seguin scored 80 total points last year for the Stars. He had 33 goals last season with 334 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He had a total of 47 assists on the year and averaged 20.7 minutes played per contest. Jamie Benn averaged 18.2 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 14% by tallying 27 goals on 189 attempts. He had 26 assists giving him a total of 53 points on the year. Ben Bishop had 27 wins and 15 losses last season in goal for the Stars. He had 1,323 shots against him and he surrendered 87 goals. He made 1,236 stops for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Dylan Larkin had 73 total points last season for the Red Wings. He had 32 goals last year with 287 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 41 assists on the year and averaged 21.8 minutes played per contest. Tyler Bertuzzi averaged 16.5 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 21 goals on 131 attempts. He had 26 assists giving him a total of 47 points on the year. Jimmy Howard had 23 wins and 22 losses last season in net for the Red Wings. He had 1,709 shots against him and he gave up 156 goals. He made 1,553 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Stars had 93 total points last year, which was 15th in the NHL. They scored 209 goals while giving up 200 scores, which had them ranked 28th and 30th respectively. They had 214 power play chances and scored 45 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 21%. That was 11th in the league. The Stars gave up 238 power play opportunities and surrendered 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking them 5th when short-handed. They averaged 31 shots per contest and as a team shot 8.30% for the year. They allowed 32 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 92%, which was 2nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Red Wings were 28th in the league with a total of 74 points last season. They had 39 power play goals on 216 chances for a percentage of 18%. That was 19th in the NHL. They gave up 245 power play opportunities and surrendered 56 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 77%, ranking 28th overall. As a team, the Red Wings were 21st with a total of 224 goals scored while they gave up 272 goals last season, ranking 5th in goals against. They averaged 29 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 9.36%. As a unit they gave up 34 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 90%, putting them 22nd overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 24th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.3%, as they've attempted 4,543 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,866 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.6% as they have 3,374 attempts while they have given up 3,575 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 21st in the league. The Stars start possessions in the offensive zone 46.9% of the time, which is 30th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 53.1% for the season. That is 2nd overall in the NHL. They have 2,529 face-off wins compared to 2,346 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.9%. That ranks them 4th in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,820 hits and they have blocked 1,291 shots from the opposition, putting them 5th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Red Wings are 21st in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 48.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 51.2% for the season, which is 10th in the NHL. They have 2,568 face-off wins compared to 2,490 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.8%. That is 9th in the league. On defense Detroit has 1,749 hits and they have blocked 1,103 shots from the opposition, which is 24th in the league. Detroit is 28th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 47% as they've attempted 4,364 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,925 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 46.2% ranks 28th as they have 3,287 attempts while they have given up 3,822 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Stars/Red Wings NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -155

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