Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 3/12/2019

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Dallas Stars travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday, March 12, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Stars at -125 and the Sabres at +113.

Dallas has a record of 35-28-5 this season. They are 4th in the Central Division. They've scored 172 goals and given up 172 goals for a point differential of 0. For the season they have an ATS record of 35-33-0 and an over/under record of 20-40-0. Buffalo is 30-29-9 this season. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 190 goals and surrendered 216 for a goal differential of -26. Their record against the spread is 30-38-0 while their over/under record is 38-28-0.

Valuable Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars are 35-33-0 straight up this year

The Dallas Stars are 20-40-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 30-38-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 38-28-0 against the over/under this season

Key Dallas Stars Injuries

12/31/18 C Martin Hanzal Back is out indefinitely
10/03/18 D Stephen Johns Head IR (10/03)
02/26/19 RW Mats Zuccarello Upper Body is out indefinitely
02/21/19 D Marc Methot Lower Body is out for season
01/31/19 C Tyler Pitlick Undisclosed is out indefinitely

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

03/10/19 C Jack Eichel Suspension 2-game suspension (eligible to return 3/16 vs Carolina)
03/04/19 D Jake McCabe Upper Body is out 4-6 weeks

Player Spotlight

Alexander Radulov has accumulated 55 total points this season for the Stars. He has 21 goals this year with 161 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 13%. He has a total of 34 assists on the season and averages 19.7 minutes played per game. Tyler Seguin averages 20.9 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 27 goals on 267 shots. He has 35 assists, giving him a total of 62 points on the season. Ben Bishop has 22 wins and 14 losses this season in net for the Stars. He has 1,161 shots against him and he's given up 81 goals. He's made 1,080 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Sam Reinhart has scored 58 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 18 goals this season with 151 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 40 assists on the season and averages 18.9 minutes played per game. Jeff Skinner averages 18.6 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 36 goals on 222 shots. He has 22 assists, giving him a total of 58 points on the season. Carter Hutton has 16 wins and 19 losses this year in goal for the Sabres. He has 1,265 shots against him and he's surrendered 111 goals. He's made 1,154 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Stars have 75 total points this season, which ranks them 16th in the NHL. They are 29th in the league in goals scored with 172 while they've given up 172 goals, ranking them 29th overall. They have had 174 power play opportunities and have scored 34 goals on those chances for a percentage of 20%. That is 16th in the NHL. The Stars have allowed 205 power play opportunities and have given up 36 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, putting them 6th in the league when short-handed. They average 30 shots per game and as a team shoot 8.47% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%. That puts them 2nd in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres are 22nd in the NHL with a total of 69 points this year. They have 38 power play goals on 200 opportunities for a percentage of 19%. That ranks them 18th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 177 power play opportunities and have given up 31 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. That is 5th in the NHL. As a team, the Sabres are 21st in the league with 190 goals scored while they've given up 216 goals, which is 10th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.56%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 90%. That is 12th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 28th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 47.4%, as they've attempted 3,679 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,077 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 47.6% as they have 2,729 attempts while they have given up 3,002 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 27th in the league. The Stars start possessions in the offensive zone 46.7% of the time, which is 30th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 53.3% for the season. That is 2nd overall in the NHL. They have 2,095 face-off wins compared to 1,944 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.9%. That ranks them 4th in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,544 hits and they have blocked 1,075 shots from the opposition, putting them 5th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 17th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.3% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 1,971 face-off wins compared to 2,098 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.4%. That is 26th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 1,270 hits and they have blocked 863 shots from the opposition, which is 30th in the league. Buffalo is 15th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.7% as they've attempted 3,858 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,911 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.7% ranks 17th as they have 3,006 attempts while they have given up 3,048 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Stars/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +113

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