Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 12/4/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Alti/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-115) Maple Leafs (+104)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4, 4th in the Atlantic Division) play the Colorado Avalanche (16-8-2, 2nd in the Central Division) at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, December 4, 2019. The moneyline on this contest has the Avalanche coming in at -115 and the Maple Leafs are at +104. The total opens at 6. The Avalanche are covering 61.5% of the time, having gone 16-10 SU. The Maple Leafs are covering 44.4% of the time, going 12-15 straight up.

The Colorado Avalanche head into this game holding a record of 16 victories and 8 defeats, which is good for 2nd in the Central Division. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 97 goals which ranks 1st in the Western Conference and 3rd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +22, which is good for 2nd in the NHL. The Avalanche currently have a total of 34 points, which ranks 7th in the NHL and 3rd in the conference. When discussing shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 838 which ranks 11th in the conference and 22nd in the NHL. As a team, Colorado currently has a total of 340 hits which has them averaging 13.1 per contest. They currently have a total of 280 blocks for the season. Protecting the goal for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer from Rosenheim, Germany. He is 28 years old and has been on the ice a total of 922 minutes defending the net this season. Grubauer is giving up 2.86 goals against average which has him sitting 18th in the Western Conference and 31st in the NHL. During this season, he has surrendered 44 goals. He holds a save percentage of .911 which has him sitting 14th in the Western Conference.

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The Colorado Avalanche will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 7 - 3 win over the Chicago Blackhawks in their last contest. The Avalanche had a good offensive output in the victory. In this outing, they earned a goal on 7 out of the 29 shots they attempted. They also had 4 power play chances and netted 1 goal out of those chances. Colorado had a total of 17 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Avalanche was 27 and the Corsi against was 27 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 50.0%. Their Fenwick was 24 while the Fenwick against was 15, meaning they had a rate of 61.5%. They won 23 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 29.2% and they had a PDO of 118.9 in this game. Regarding their opponent, the Chicago Blackhawks tallied 29 shots. They finished with 13 penalty minutes and they had 6 power play opportunities.

The Maple Leafs will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the campaign they sit with 13 wins and 11 losses. With regard to goal differential, they are ranked 8th in the conference and 15th in the league with +2. They have earned a total of 92 goals for this season which has them ranked at 3rd in the conference. Toronto has a save % as a team of .903 which currently has them sitting 19th in the league, which means scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a shooting percentage of 9.7% which is good for 8th in the Eastern Conference. In net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen who is having a marginal season by surrendering 2.47 goals per contest and that has him 6th among East goaltenders and 12th in the NHL. In the 1,264 minutes he's played, he's surrendered 52 goals. He has a save percentage of .921, which places him at 5th among East goaltenders and 13th in the NHL.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs opposed the Buffalo Sabres in an outing where the Maple Leafs took home the victory by a mark of 2 - 1. For this outing, Toronto wound up with a 52.0% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 51 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 47. Their Fenwick rate came in at 50.6% with a Fenwick of 41 and the Sabres having earned a 40 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. Their PDO at even strength was 99.0 and their oZS percentage was 50.0%. The Maple Leafs scored 2 goals out of the 43 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play chance in this outing and were able to net 1 on that opportunity. Regarding the opposition, the Sabres had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to put the puck in the net. Toronto gave up 30 shots on goal and the Sabres racked up 2 minutes in the box.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+104) and under the total goals

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