Colorado Avalanche vs. Boston Bruins - 12/7/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Boston Bruins

Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/Alti

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (+136) Bruins (-150)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Tuukka Rask and the Boston Bruins (20-3-6, 1st in the Atlantic Division) play the Colorado Avalanche (18-8-2, 2nd in the Central Division) at TD Garden on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The Bruins open this game at -150 while the Avalanche are priced at +136. The total is set at 6. The Avalanche cover 64.3% of the time, having gone 18-10 SU. Boston covers 69.0% of the time, going 20-9 straight up.

The Colorado Avalanche head into this game holding a record of 18 wins and 8 defeats, which is good for 2nd in the Central Division. Thus far in the season, they have earned a total of 103 goals which puts them at 1st in the West and 3rd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +25, which is good for 3rd in the NHL. The Avalanche currently have a total of 38 points, which puts them at 5th in the NHL and 2nd in the conference. When talking about shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 903 which puts them at 8th in the conference and 17th in the NHL. As a unit, Colorado has earned a total of 374 hits which means they are averaging 13.4 per contest. They currently have a total of 304 blocks for this year. Protecting the goal for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer from Rosenheim, Germany. He is 28 years old and has racked up 982 minutes protecting the goal for the campaign. Grubauer is conceding an average of 2.75 goals against average which has him sitting 13th among West goaltenders and 22nd in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he's allowed 45 goals. His save % is .916 which has him sitting 11th among West goaltenders.

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The Colorado Avalanche came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3 - 2 victory over the Montreal Canadiens the last time they stepped on the ice. The Avalanche had an average offensive output in this win. In their game, they converted 3 of the 35 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. Colorado earned a total of 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Avalanche was 41 and the Corsi against was 44 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 48.2%. Their Fenwick was 29 while the Fenwick against sat at 30, meaning they had a rate of 49.2%. They earned 18 face-off wins at even strength and lost 23 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 60.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 103.8 for this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Montreal Canadiens earned 40 shots. They had a total of 6 penalty minutes and they earned 3 power play attempts.

The Bruins will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they sit with 20 victories and 3 losses. Regarding goal differential, they are currently ranked 1st in the East and 1st in the league with +39. They currently have a total of 104 goals for this year which puts them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference. Boston has a save percentage as a team of .929 which has them ranked 2nd in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.4% putting them at 2nd in the conference. In goal for Boston is Tuukka Rask who is having a marginal season by allowing 2.15 GAA and that has him ranked 3rd among Eastern Conference goalies and 4th in the NHL among goalies. In the 1,091 mins he has played this season, he has given up 39 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .929, which has him placed 3rd among Eastern Conference goalies and 5th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Boston Bruins faced off against the Chicago Blackhawks in a matchup where the Bruins ended up losing by a final of 4 - 3. In this game, Boston went home with a 55.7% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 44 while their opponent had a Corsi of 35. Their Fenwick rate came in at 53.3% by notching a Fenwick of 32 and the Blackhawks ending the game with a 28 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Boston played and it tells us they had an average game overall. They had a PDO at even strength of 95.8 and their oZS percentage was 61.5%. The Bruins converted 3 goals of the 40 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play chances in this game but didn't score a goal. On the other side of the ice, the Blackhawks had 3 power play opportunities and ended up scoring 1 goal. Boston gave up 31 shots on goal and the Blackhawks racked up a total of 13 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colorado (+136)

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