Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks Expert NHL Picks 10/13/2019

Sunday, October 13, 2019

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Brent Burns and the San Jose Sharks (1-4-0, 8th in the Pacific Division) host the Calgary Flames (2-1-1, 3rd in the Pacific Division) at SAP Center on Sunday, October 13, 2019. The Flames are covering 33.3% of the time, having gone 1-2 SU. The Sharks are covering 20.0% of the time, going 1-4 straight up.

The Calgary Flames had a good night with a 3 - 2 victory against the Dallas Stars in their last game. The Flames had a middle of the road offensive output in the victory. For this game, they finished 3 out of the 29 shots they put on net. They also had 2 power play opportunities and netted 1 goal out of those opportunities. Calgary ended up with 10 penalty mins for this outing. The Corsi for the Flames was 42 and the Corsi against was 43 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 49.4%. Their Fenwick was 31 and the Fenwick against sat at 33, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 48.4%. They earned 14 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 32.9% and they had a PDO of 99.0 for this matchup. Concerning opponent stats, the Dallas Stars earned a total of 36 shots. They finished with a total of 6 penalty minutes and they had 4 power play attempts.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flames have 5 total points this season, which ranks them 14th in the NHL. They are 17th in the league in goals scored with 11 while they've given up 11 goals, ranking them 20th overall. They have had 12 power play opportunities and have scored 3 goals on those chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 14th in the NHL. The Flames have allowed 18 power play opportunities and have given up 4 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, putting them 17th in the league when short-handed. They average 30 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.32% for the season. They allow 36 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%. That puts them 7th in the league in stopping the puck.

The San Jose Sharks went up against the Chicago Blackhawks in an outing where the Sharks ended up with the win by a mark of 5 - 4. In this game, San Jose had a 55.6% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by having a Corsi of 40 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 32. Their Fenwick percentage was 47.3% by earning a Fenwick of 26 and the Blackhawks earning a 29 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that San Jose had and they showed up in this game. They had a PDO at even strength of 100.0 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 75.9%. The Sharks netted 5 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play opportunities in this game and were able to convert 2 out of those chances. On the other side of the ice, the Blackhawks had 2 power play chances but didn't tally a goal. San Jose allowed 30 shots on goal and the Blackhawks had a total of 6 minutes in the box.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sharks are 25th in the NHL with a total of 2 points this year. They have 3 power play goals on 20 opportunities for a percentage of 15%. That ranks them 23rd in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 16 power play opportunities and have given up 2 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 88%. That is 8th in the NHL. As a team, the Sharks are 19th in the league with 10 goals scored while they've given up 21 goals, which is 1st overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 6.17%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 86%. That is 26th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Calgary is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.2%, as they've attempted 166 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 158 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 51.7% as they have 125 attempts while they have given up 117 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 11th in the league. The Flames start possessions in the offensive zone 43.2% of the time, which is 27th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 56.8% for the season. That is 5th overall in the NHL. They have 90 face-off wins compared to 97 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.1%. That ranks them 23rd in the league. On defense Calgary has 55 hits and they have blocked 41 shots from the opposition, putting them 13th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sharks are 1st in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 62.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 37.3% for the season, which is 31st in the NHL. They have 98 face-off wins compared to 101 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.2%. That is 16th in the league. On defense San Jose has 104 hits and they have blocked 32 shots from the opposition, which is 24th in the league. San Jose is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 53% as they've attempted 186 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 165 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.4% ranks 14th as they have 135 attempts while they have given up 133 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Sharks NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Calgary

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