Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Point Spread Picks 10/3/2019

Thursday, October 3, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Calgary Flames travel to Pepsi Center to play the Colorado Avalanche on Thursday, October 3, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Flames at +178 and the Avalanche at +126.

Calgary had a record of 50-25-7 last season and on the road they had a record of 24-15-2-2. They finished 1st in the Pacific Division. They scored 289 goals and gave up 223 goals for a point differential of +66. For the season they had an ATS record of 50-31 and an over/under record of 41-37-4. Colorado finished with a record of 38-30-14 including 12-9-5-1 at home last season. They were 5th in the Central Division. They scored 258 goals and surrendered 244 for a goal differential of +14. Their record against the spread was 36-43 while their over/under record was 41-42-0.

Valuable Calgary Flames Betting Trends

The Calgary Flames were 50-31 straight up last year

The Calgary Flames were 41-37-4 against the over/under last season

Important Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

The Colorado Avalanche were 36-43 straight up last year

The Colorado Avalanche were 41-42-0 against the over/under last season

Key Calgary Flames Injuries

9/28/2019 Derek Ryan C Illness Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
8/12/2019 Juuso Valimaki D Knee Expected to be out until at least Feb 12

Key Colorado Avalanche Injuries

9/25/2019 Mikko Rantanen RW Contract Dispute Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
9/25/2019 Pierre-Edouard Bellemare C Lower Body Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
6/26/2019 Ian Cole D Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 4

Player Spotlight

David Rittich had 27 wins and 9 losses last season in net for the Flames. He had 1,228 shots against him and he gave up 109 goals. He made 1,119 saves for a save percentage of 91%. Elias Lindholm accumulated 78 total points last season for the Flames. He had 27 goals last year with 182 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He had a total of 51 assists on the season and averaged 20 minutes played per game. Mark Giordano averaged 24.2 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 8% by scoring 17 goals on 221 shots. He had 57 assists giving him a total of 74 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Nathan MacKinnon scored 99 total points last year for the Avalanche. He had 41 goals last season with 365 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 58 assists on the season and averaged 22.1 minutes played per game. Philipp Grubauer had 18 wins and 9 losses last year in goal for the Avalanche. He had 1,071 shots against him and he surrendered 89 goals. He made 982 saves for a save percentage of 92%. 

Useful Team Statistics

The Flames allowed 246 power play opportunities and gave up 50 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80% last year. That was 21st in the NHL. They averaged 32 shots per game and as a team shot 10.88% for the season. They allowed 28 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 90%, which was ranked 21st in the league. The Flames had 107 total points last season, ranking 3rd in the NHL in offense. They were 3rd in the league with 289 goals while giving up 223 goals, which was 23rd overall. They had 275 power play opportunities and scored 53 goals on those chances for a percentage of 19%. That was 18th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Avalanche were 10th with 258 goals scored while they were 16th in the NHL with 244 goals allowed last year. They averaged 33 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 9.64%. They gave up 32 shots per game and had a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 12th place in the league. The Avalanche had a total of 90 points last year, which was 17th in the NHL. They had 63 power play goals on 286 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranked their power play unit 7th. They allowed 272 power play opportunities and gave up 58 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 79%, which was 25th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Calgary is 4th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 53.6%, as they've attempted 4,935 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,273 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 53.2% as they have 3,689 attempts while they have given up 3,240 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 4th in the league. The Flames start possessions in the offensive zone 54% of the time, which is 4th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46% for the season. That is 28th overall in the NHL. They have 2,490 face-off wins compared to 2,265 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.4%. That ranks them 3rd in the league. On defense Calgary has 1,233 hits and they have blocked 1,033 shots from the opposition, putting them 30th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Avalanche are 6th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 53.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 46.3% for the season, which is 26th in the NHL. They have 2,346 face-off wins compared to 2,529 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.1%. That is 26th in the league. On defense Colorado has 1,699 hits and they have blocked 1,324 shots from the opposition, which is 2nd in the league. Colorado is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.4% as they've attempted 4,738 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,861 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.1% ranks 15th as they have 3,546 attempts while they have given up 3,537 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Avalanche NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Colorado +126

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