Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche - 12/9/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Monday, December 9, 2019

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: RSNW/Alti

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+153) Avalanche (-170)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Pepsi Center is the venue where Pavel Francouz and the Colorado Avalanche (19-8-2, 2nd in the Central Division) will play the Calgary Flames (15-12-4, 5th in the Pacific Division) on Monday. The Flames open this game at +153 while the Avalanche are coming in at -170. The O/U opens at 6. The Flames are covering 42.9% of the time, having gone 12-16 SU. Colorado is covering 65.5% of the time, going 19-10 straight up.

The Calgary Flames come into this matchup with a record of 15 wins and 12 defeats, ranking them 5th in the Pacific Division. Thus far in the season, they have racked up a total of 78 goals which has them sitting at 13th in the West and 26th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -14, ranking them 25th in the NHL. The Flames currently have a total of 34 pts, which has them sitting at 14th in the NHL and 8th in the conference. In connection with shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 969 which has them sitting at 3rd in the Western Conference and 10th in the NHL. As a team, Calgary currently has a total of 397 hits which means they are averaging 12.8 per game. They currently have a total of 286 blocks for this season. In goal for Calgary is David Rittich from Jihlava, Czechoslovakia. He is 27 years old and has racked up 1,447 minutes defending the goal for the year. Rittich is surrendering an average of 2.69 GAA which has him placed 10th among West goaltenders and 19th among goaltenders in the NHL. During this season, he has surrendered 65 goals. He has a save percentage of .914 which has him placed 11th among West goaltenders.

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The Calgary Flames were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 3 victory over the Los Angeles Kings in their previous game. The Flames had a good offensive output in the victory. For this matchup, they netted 4 out of the 30 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 4 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those chances. Calgary had a total of 21 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Flames was 31 and the Corsi against was 43 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 41.9%. Their Fenwick sat at 23 and the Fenwick against sat at 35, telling us they have a rate of 39.7%. They earned 18 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 27.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 112.8 for this matchup. Regarding their opponent, the Los Angeles Kings earned 33 shots. They finished with a total of 23 penalty mins and they had 3 power play opportunities.

The Avalanche are the team on the other side of the ice and for the current year they have 19 victories and 8 defeats. When discussing goal differential, they are currently ranked 1st in the conference and 2nd in the NHL with +28. They currently have a total of 107 goals for the year which ranks 1st in the West. Colorado has a save % as a team of .916 which currently has them ranked 8th in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They are shooting 11.6% ranking them 1st in the conference. In goal for Colorado is Pavel Francouz who is having an ok year by surrendering 2.24 goals against average and that places him 4th among West goalies and 8th in the NHL. In the 562 mins he's played this year, he has surrendered 21 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .931, which has him ranked 4th among West goalies and 4th in the NHL.

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The Colorado Avalanche played the Boston Bruins in a matchup where the Avalanche ended up with the victory by a score of 4 - 1. For this outing, Colorado wound up with a 50.8% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 33 and the other team having a Corsi of 32. They had a Fenwick percentage of 54.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 24 and the Bruins ending the game with a 20 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Colorado played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. They had a PDO of 113.5 and their percentage of oZS was 75.0%. The Avalanche scored 4 goals of the 20 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play attempt in this game but didn't put one in the back of the net. As for the opposition, the Bruins had 3 power play attempts but weren't able to put the puck in the net. Colorado conceded 20 shots on goal and the Bruins ended up with 2 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calgary (+153)

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