Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres Expert NHL Picks 11/27/2019

Game: Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSGB/RSNW

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+101) Sabres (-111)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

David Rittich and the Calgary Flames (11-12-4, 6th in the Pacific Division) head to KeyBank Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Buffalo Sabres (11-10-3, 6th in the Atlantic Division). The odds on this game have the Flames coming in at +101 and the Sabres are at -111. The total is set at 5.5. The Flames are covering 33.3% of the time, having gone 8-16 SU. The Sabres are covering 43.5% of the time, going 10-13 straight up.

The Calgary Flames head into this game holding a record of 11 victories and 12 defeats, which is good for 6th in the Pacific Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 64 goals which puts them at 14th in the Western Conference and 27th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -19, which is good for 28th in the NHL. The Flames currently have a total of 26 points, which puts them at 20th in the NHL and 10th in the Western Conference. In discussing shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 854 which puts them at 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the NHL. As a unit, Calgary has earned a total of 352 hits which means they have an average of 13 per contest. They currently have a total of 249 blocks for the year. Looking after the goal for Calgary is David Rittich from Jihlava, Czechoslovakia. He is 27 years old and has played 1,266 mins defending the net this season. Rittich is giving up an average of 2.80 goals against average which has him placed 12th among West goalies and 22nd among goaltenders in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's given up 59 goals. He has a save % of .912 which has him placed 12th among West goalies.

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The Calgary Flames will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3 - 2 loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last game. The Flames had a below average offensive outing in this loss. For this matchup, they scored on 2 of the 34 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 2 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those attempts. Calgary racked up 6 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Flames sat at 47 and the Corsi against was 41 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 53.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 32 while the Fenwick against sat at 30, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 51.6%. They won 30 face-off wins and were beaten on 28 of all total face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 50.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 96.2 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Pittsburgh Penguins racked up 38 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 4 penalty minutes and they tallied 3 power play attempts.

The Sabres will be the team on the other side of the ice and for the current year they sit with 11 wins and 10 defeats. With regard to goal differential, they are currently sitting 12th in the conference and 21st in the NHL with -4. They have a total of 68 goals for this year which has them ranked at 11th in the East. Buffalo has a save percentage as a team of .906 which currently has them sitting 15th in the NHL, which tells us there should be some opportunities to score. They are shooting 9.2% putting them at 11th in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark who is having a bad campaign by allowing 2.91 goals against average and that has him ranked 16th among Eastern Conference goalies and 30th among goalies in the NHL. In the 660 mins he's played this season, he's allowed 32 goals. He's earned a save % of .915, which ranks him 6th among Eastern Conference goalies and 15th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Buffalo Sabres faced off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in an outing where the Sabres took a loss by a final of 5 - 2. In this game, Buffalo went home with a 43.2% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 32 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 42. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 41.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 23 and the Lightning earning a 32 Fenwick. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Buffalo had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their PDO was 102.8 and their oZS percentage was 49.5%. The Sabres notched 2 goals of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play chances in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. Concerning their opponent, the Lightning had 4 power play opportunities and came through by scoring 1 goal. Buffalo allowed 29 shots on goal and the Lightning earned 8 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (-111)

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