Buffalo Sabres vs. Philadelphia Flyers - 12/19/19 NHL Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, December 19, 2019

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: MSGB/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+136) Flyers (-150)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Carter Hart and the Philadelphia Flyers (18-11-5, 5th in the Metropolitan Division) host the Buffalo Sabres (16-12-7, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) at Wells Fargo Center on Thursday, December 19, 2019. The Flyers open this game at -150 while the Sabres are coming in at +136. The over/under is set at 6. The Sabres are covering 45.5% of the time, having gone 15-18 SU. Philadelphia is covering 46.7% of the time, going 14-16 straight up.

The Buffalo Sabres step onto the ice holding a record of 16 victories and 12 defeats, putting them at 2nd in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 109 goals which has them ranked at 8th in the East and 10th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +2, putting them at 17th in the NHL. The Sabres currently have a total of 39 pts, which has them ranked at 15th in the NHL and 7th in the Eastern Conference. When looking at shots on goal, they currently have a total of 1,082 which has them ranked at 10th in the Eastern Conference and 19th in the NHL. As a team, Buffalo currently has a total of 606 hits which means they are averaging 17.3 per game. They currently have a total of 327 blocks for this year. The goaltender for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark from Elmhurst, Illinois. He is 26 years old and has totaled 1,200 minutes minding the net for the year. Kinkaid is surrendering an average of 2.90 GAA which has him placed 20th in the East and 36th in the NHL. During this season, he has allowed 58 goals. He has a save percentage of .913 which has him placed 11th in the East.

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The Buffalo Sabres had a rough game after their 5 - 3 loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last contest. The Sabres had an average offensive output in this defeat. For this game, they netted 3 out of the 30 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 2 power play opportunities and netted 1 goal out of those tries. Buffalo had 2 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Sabres was 53 and the Corsi against was 49 giving them a Corsi percentage of 52.0%. Their Fenwick sat at 40 and the Fenwick against sat at 40, meaning they had a rate of 50.0%. They took 15 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 39.1% and they had a PDO of 92.9 in this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Toronto Maple Leafs racked up 33 shots. They finished with 4 penalty minutes and they tallied 1 power play opportunity.

The Flyers are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they sit with 18 victories and 11 defeats. In discussing goal differential, they are sitting 7th in the conference and 12th in the league with +7. They currently have a total of 102 goals for the season which has them ranked at 11th in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a save % as a team of .904 which currently has them ranked 20th in the league, meaning there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.4% which puts them at 11th in the East. In net for Philadelphia is Carter Hart who is having an average year by allowing 2.40 goals against average and that places him 8th among East goaltenders and 13th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,227 mins he's been on the ice this season, he's given up 49 goals. His save percentage is .912, which places him at 13th among East goaltenders and 28th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Philadelphia Flyers faced the Anaheim Ducks in a game where the Flyers earned a victory by a tally of 4 - 1. In this game, Philadelphia went home with a 40.2% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 37 and the other team having a Corsi of 55. Their Fenwick rate came in at 40.0% by earning a Fenwick of 30 and the Ducks having earned a 45 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Philadelphia had and it tells us that they played really well in this game. They had a PDO of 115.4 and their percentage of oZS was 26.9%. The Flyers notched 4 goals of the 31 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. In discussing their opponent, the Ducks had 5 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Philadelphia gave up 41 shots on goal and the Ducks earned 11 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo (+136)

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