Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins Expert NHL Picks 11/21/2019

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2019

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/MSGB

Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+149) Bruins (-165)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Tuukka Rask and the Boston Bruins (13-3-5, 1st in the Atlantic Division) play the Buffalo Sabres (10-8-3, 4th in the Atlantic Division) at TD Garden on Thursday, November 21, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Sabres priced at +149 and the Bruins are at -165. The O/U has been set at 6.5. The Sabres cover 45.0% of the time, having gone 9-11 SU. The Bruins cover 61.9% of the time, going 13-8 straight up.

The Buffalo Sabres come into the game with a record of 10 victories and 8 defeats, ranking them 4th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 59 goals which is good for 13th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. Their goal differential is -3, ranking them 19th in the NHL. The Sabres currently have a total of 23 pts, which is good for 17th in the NHL and 9th in the East. In the matter of shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 645 which is good for 11th in the Eastern Conference and 21st in the NHL. As a team, Buffalo has compiled a total of 317 hits which means they have an average of 15.1 per contest. They currently have a total of 186 blocks for the season. The man in net for Buffalo is Carter Hutton from Savonlinna, Finland. He is 34 years old and has played a total of 724 minutes defending the goal for the campaign. Hutton is allowing 2.73 goals per game which places him at 8th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 17th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's allowed 33 goals. His save percentage is .909 which places him at 10th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Buffalo Sabres will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4 - 1 defeat to the Minnesota Wild in their previous game. The Sabres could have played much better offensively in the loss. While out there on the ice, they earned a goal on 1 out of the 31 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to net one. Buffalo ended up with a total of 14 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Sabres sat at 37 and the Corsi against was 25 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 59.7%. Their Fenwick sat at 29 and the Fenwick against sat at 22, which gave them a rate of 56.9%. They took 12 face-off wins and were beaten on 19 attempts to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 70.7% and they had a PDO of 86.3 for this matchup. When it comes to their opponent, the Minnesota Wild earned a total of 26 shots. They finished with a total of 6 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 7 power play attempts.

The Bruins will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they have 13 wins and 3 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they are currently sitting 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the NHL with +25. They have earned a total of 75 goals for the year which has them ranked at 3rd in the Eastern Conference. Boston has a team save % of .924 which has them sitting 2nd in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 11.2% putting them at 4th in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Boston is Tuukka Rask who is having a solid year by giving up only 2.06 goals per contest and that places him 2nd among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 3rd in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 788 mins he's played this year, he's given up 27 goals. He has a save % of .930, which has him ranking 2nd among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 4th in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Boston Bruins faced the New Jersey Devils in an outing where the Bruins ended up with the victory by a mark of 5 - 1. In this outing, Boston wound up with a 45.7% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 37 while the opposition had a Corsi of 44. They had a Fenwick percentage of 48.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Devils finishing with a 32 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Boston played and it tells us that they played really well in this game. They had a PDO of 114.5 and their oZS percentage was 60.0%. The Bruins converted 5 goals of the 28 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing and were able to net 1 out of those chances. Concerning the opposition, the Devils had 2 power play opportunities but were not able to take advantage. Boston conceded 26 shots on goal and the Devils ended up with 4 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston (-165)

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