Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks NHL Picks 10/16/2019

Wednesday, October 16, 2019

Honda Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

Ondrej Kase and the Anaheim Ducks (4-2-0, 3rd in the Pacific Division) play the Buffalo Sabres (5-0-1, 1st in the Atlantic Division) at Honda Center on Wednesday, October 16, 2019. The Ducks open this contest at -120 while the Sabres are coming in at +109. The over/under is set at 5.5. The Sabres cover 80.0% of the time, having gone 4-1 SU. Anaheim covers 66.7% of the time, going 4-2 straight up.

The Buffalo Sabres were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 0 victory over the Dallas Stars in their previous contest. The Sabres had a good offensive performance in the victory. In this game, they converted 4 of the 22 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 2 power play chances and scored 1 goal out of those tries. Buffalo had a total of 4 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Sabres was 32 and the Corsi against was 33 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 49.2%. Their Fenwick was 24 while the Fenwick against sat at 25, telling us they have a rate of 49.0%. They took 15 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 of all total face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 45.5% and they had a PDO of 117.6 for this one. Regarding their opponent, the Dallas Stars racked up a total of 25 shots. They finished with 4 penalty mins and they notched 2 power play opportunities.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres have 11 total points this season, which ranks them 1st in the NHL. They are 3rd in the league in goals scored with 24 while they've given up 13 goals, ranking them 23rd overall. They have had 21 power play opportunities and have scored 9 goals on those chances for a percentage of 43%. That is 1st in the NHL. The Sabres have allowed 17 power play opportunities and have given up 4 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 76%, putting them 22nd in the league when short-handed. They average 31 shots per game and as a team shoot 12.77% for the season. They allow 31 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 93%. That puts them 5th in the league in stopping the puck.

The Anaheim Ducks went up against the Boston Bruins in a game where the Ducks took a loss by a tally of 4 - 2. For this game, Anaheim went home with a 48.4% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 31 while the opposition earned a Corsi of 33. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 44.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 22 and the Bruins earning a 28 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Anaheim played and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. They had a PDO at even strength of 102.5 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 46.2%. The Ducks scored 2 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play opportunities in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. In discussing their opponent, the Bruins had 3 power play chances and took advantage of the situation by scoring 2 goals of those chances. Anaheim gave way to 23 shots on goal and the Bruins had 10 minutes in the box.

Useful Team Statistics

The Ducks are 11th in the NHL with a total of 8 points this year. They have 0 power play goals on 14 opportunities for a percentage of 0%. That ranks them 30th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 19 power play opportunities and have given up 3 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%. That is 11th in the NHL. As a team, the Ducks are 22nd in the league with 13 goals scored while they've given up 10 goals, which is 27th overall. They average 30 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 7.30%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 94%. That is 2nd in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo is 12th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.6%, as they've attempted 230 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 216 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 51.4% as they have 166 attempts while they have given up 157 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Sabres start possessions in the offensive zone 49.4% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50.6% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 122 face-off wins compared to 128 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.8%. That ranks them 20th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 89 hits and they have blocked 59 shots from the opposition, putting them 15th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Ducks are 25th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 44.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 55.2% for the season, which is 7th in the NHL. They have 109 face-off wins compared to 100 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.2%. That is 9th in the league. On defense Anaheim has 108 hits and they have blocked 60 shots from the opposition, which is 14th in the league. Anaheim is 27th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 46.1% as they've attempted 207 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 242 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 44.7% ranks 29th as they have 147 attempts while they have given up 182 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Sabres/Ducks NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo

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