Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 3/2/2019

Saturday, March 2, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Buffalo Sabres travel to Scotiabank Arena to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday, March 2, 2019. The opening line for this game has the Sabres at +255 and the Maple Leafs at -360.

Buffalo has a record of 29-26-8 this season. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 177 goals and given up 197 goals for a point differential of -20. For the season they have an ATS record of 29-34-0 and an over/under record of 34-27-0. Toronto is 39-21-4 this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 228 goals and surrendered 184 for a goal differential of +44. Their record against the spread is 39-24-0 while their over/under record is 30-29-0.

Valuable Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 29-34-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 34-27-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-24-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 30-29-0 against the over/under this season

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

02/28/19 C Vladimir Sobotka Undisclosed left last game, is questionable Friday vs Pittsburgh

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

02/28/19 D Jake Gardiner Back is out indefinitely
02/28/19 C Nazem Kadri Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Buffalo
02/28/19 D Travis Dermott Upper Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Sam Reinhart has accumulated 57 total points this season for the Sabres. He has 18 goals this year with 139 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 13%. He has a total of 39 assists on the season and averages 18.7 minutes played per game. Jeff Skinner averages 18.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 18% by scoring 36 goals on 206 shots. He has 21 assists, giving him a total of 57 points on the season. Carter Hutton has 16 wins and 18 losses this season in net for the Sabres. He has 1,171 shots against him and he's given up 105 goals. He's made 1,066 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has scored 75 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 22 goals this season with 181 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 53 assists on the season and averages 19.7 minutes played per game. Morgan Rielly averages 22.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 15 goals on 167 shots. He has 46 assists, giving him a total of 61 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 30 wins and 13 losses this year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,525 shots against him and he's surrendered 118 goals. He's made 1,407 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres have 66 total points this season, which ranks them 22nd in the NHL. They are 23rd in the league in goals scored with 177 while they've given up 197 goals, ranking them 14th overall. They have had 192 power play opportunities and have scored 36 goals on those chances for a percentage of 19%. That is 18th in the NHL. The Sabres have allowed 165 power play opportunities and have given up 29 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, putting them 5th in the league when short-handed. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 8.60% for the season. They allow 33 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 13th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 4th in the NHL with a total of 82 points this year. They have 38 power play goals on 168 opportunities for a percentage of 23%. That ranks them 7th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 166 power play opportunities and have given up 33 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 16th in the NHL. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 4th in the league with 228 goals scored while they've given up 184 goals, which is 21st overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.06%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 5th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo is 15th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50%, as they've attempted 3,584 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,587 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50% as they have 2,804 attempts while they have given up 2,802 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 16th in the league. The Sabres start possessions in the offensive zone 51% of the time, which is 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49% for the season. That is 16th overall in the NHL. They have 1,847 face-off wins compared to 1,926 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49%. That ranks them 21st in the league. On defense Buffalo has 1,160 hits and they have blocked 785 shots from the opposition, putting them 31st overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49% for the season, which is 15th in the NHL. They have 2,048 face-off wins compared to 1,836 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.7%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,092 hits and they have blocked 882 shots from the opposition, which is 21st in the league. Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4% as they've attempted 4,096 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,873 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.3% ranks 15th as they have 3,031 attempts while they have given up 2,991 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Sabres/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto -360

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