Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 11/5/2019

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Bell Centre

Tuukka Rask and the Boston Bruins (10-1-2, 1st in the Atlantic Division) go to Bell Centre on Tuesday where they'll take on the Montreal Canadiens (7-5-2, 5th in the Atlantic Division). The line on this game has the Bruins coming in at -113 and the Canadiens are at +102. The total opens at 6. The Bruins cover 76.9% of the time, having gone 10-3 SU. The Canadiens cover 46.2% of the time, going 6-7 straight up.

The Boston Bruins head into this game with a record of 10 victories and 1 loss, putting them at 1st in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have racked up a total of 46 goals which has them at 7th in the conference and 12th in the league. Their goal differential is +20, putting them at 1st in the league. The Bruins have earned a total of 22 points, which has them at 2nd in the league and 2nd in the East. When talking about shots at the opposing goalie, they have earned a total of 439 which has them at 11th in the conference and 20th in the league. As a unit, Boston has racked up a total of 217 hits which means they are averaging 16.7 per contest. They have earned a total of 112 blocks for this season. Looking after the net for Boston is Tuukka Rask from Caledonia, Ontario. He is 32 years old and has played a total of 484 minutes defending the net for the season. Kinkaid is allowing 1.49 goals per contest which has him ranked 1st in the East and 1st among goalies in the NHL. For the year, he has allowed 12 goals. He has a save % of .949 which has him ranked 1st in the East.

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The Boston Bruins came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 5 - 2 win over the Ottawa Senators in their previous contest. The Bruins had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in the win. In this game, they netted 5 out of the 32 shots they put on net. They also had 4 power play chances and were able to net 2 goals out of those opportunities. Boston had a total of 10 penalty minutes in their game. The Corsi for the Bruins sat at 34 and the Corsi against was 34 giving them a Corsi percentage of 50.0%. Their Fenwick was 26 and the Fenwick against was 23, which tells us they had a rate of 53.1%. They won 21 face-off wins and lost 23 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 47.8% and they had a PDO at even strength of 106.7 for this one. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Ottawa Senators tallied a total of 32 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 8 minutes in the box and they had 5 power play opportunities.

The Canadiens are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they have 7 victories and 5 losses. Regarding goal differential, they rank 6th in the Eastern Conference and 10th in the league with +6. They have a total of 50 goals for the season which is 4th in the Eastern Conference. Montreal has a team save percentage of .902 which is good for 17th in the league, which tells us scoring chances could present themselves. They are shooting 10.4% putting them at 8th in the conference. In goal for Montreal is Carey Price who is having an ok year by surrendering 2.64 goals against average and that has him ranked 9th among East goaltenders and 21st in the NHL. In the 660 minutes he has been on the ice this year, he has allowed 29 goals. His save percentage is .915, which has him ranked 9th among East goaltenders and 22nd in the NHL.

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The Montreal Canadiens faced the Dallas Stars in a matchup where the Canadiens took the loss by a score of 4 - 1. In this game, Montreal wound up with a 52.9% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 55 and their opponent having a Corsi of 49. Their Fenwick rate was 50.7% by earning a Fenwick of 38 and the Stars ending the game with a 37 Fenwick. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Montreal played and we're sure they will look for better performances in the future. They had a PDO of 96.4 and their oZS percentage was 49.3%. The Canadiens notched 1 goal out of the 36 shots on goal they tried. They had 5 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. Regarding the opposition, the Stars had 4 power play opportunities and came through by scoring 2 goals. Montreal gave way to 40 shots on goal and the Stars earned 10 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston (-113)

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