Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars NHL Picks 10/3/2019

Thursday, October 3, 2019

American Airlines Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Boston Bruins head to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars on Thursday, October 3, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Bruins at +174 and the Stars at +132.

Boston had a record of 49-24-9 last year and away from home they had a record of 20-15-6-2. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 257 goals and surrendered 212 goals for a point differential of +45. For the year they had an ATS mark of 47-32 and an over/under record of 34-44-4. Dallas finished with a record of 43-32-7 including 14-10-2-0 on home ice last year. They were 4th in the Central Division. They scored 209 goals and gave up 200 for a goal differential of +9. Their record against the spread was 41-39 while their over/under mark was 24-50-8.

Valuable Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins were 47-32 straight up last year

The Boston Bruins were 34-44-4 against the over/under last season

Important Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars were 41-39 straight up last year

The Dallas Stars were 24-50-8 against the over/under last season

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

9/28/2019 Peter Cehlarik LW Lower Body Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
9/27/2019 Joakim Nordstrom LW Foot Expected to be out until at least Oct 5
9/27/2019 David Krejci C Lower Body Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
9/24/2019 Anton Blidh LW Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jan 28
9/16/2019 Kevan Miller D Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Oct 12
9/9/2019 John Moore D Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Nov 29

Key Dallas Stars Injuries

9/28/2019 Corey Perry RW Foot Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
9/16/2019 Martin Hanzal C Back IR. Expected to be out until at least Oct 3
9/13/2019 Stephen Johns D Head Expected to be out until at least Nov 1

Player Spotlight

Tuukka Rask had 27 wins and 13 losses last season in goal for the Bruins. He had 1,245 shots against him and he surrendered 109 goals. He made 1,136 stops for a save percentage of 91%. Brad Marchand scored 100 total points last year for the Bruins. He had 36 goals last season with 231 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He had a total of 64 assists on the year and averaged 19.6 minutes played per contest. David Pastrnak averaged 18.8 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 16% by tallying 38 goals on 235 attempts. He had 43 assists giving him a total of 81 points on the year.

Player Spotlight

Tyler Seguin had 80 total points last season for the Stars. He had 33 goals last year with 334 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He had a total of 47 assists on the year and averaged 20.7 minutes played per contest. Ben Bishop had 27 wins and 15 losses last season in net for the Stars. He had 1,323 shots against him and he gave up 87 goals. He made 1,236 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Jamie Benn averaged 18.2 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 27 goals on 189 attempts. He had 26 assists giving him a total of 53 points on the year.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins gave up 244 power play opportunities and surrendered 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80% last season. That was 16th in the league. They averaged 33 shots per contest and as a team shot 9.59% for the year. They allowed 29 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 91%, ranking them 7th in the NHL at stopping the puck. The Bruins were 2nd overall with 107 total points last year. They were 11th in the league with 257 goals and 28th in goals allowed with 212. They had 251 power play chances and scored 65 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That was 3rd in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Stars were 28th with a total of 209 goals scored while they were 30th with 200 goals surrendered last season. They averaged 31 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 8.30%. As a unit they gave up 32 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 92%, putting them 2nd in the league. The Stars had a total of 93 points last season, which was 15th in the NHL. They had 45 power play goals on 214 chances for a percentage of 21%. That was 11th overall. They gave up 238 power play opportunities and surrendered 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking 5th when short-handed.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.6%, as they've attempted 4,846 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,374 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.9% as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,324 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 5th in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 53.5% of the time, which is 7th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46.5% for the season. That is 25th overall in the NHL. They have 2,454 face-off wins compared to 2,385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,876 hits and they have blocked 1,050 shots from the opposition, putting them 28th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Stars are 30th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 46.9% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 53.1% for the season, which is 2nd in the NHL. They have 2,529 face-off wins compared to 2,346 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.9%. That is 4th in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,820 hits and they have blocked 1,291 shots from the opposition, which is 5th in the league. Dallas is 24th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.3% as they've attempted 4,543 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,866 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 48.6% ranks 21st as they have 3,374 attempts while they have given up 3,575 shots on the defensive end.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston +174 and over 5.5 total goals

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink