Boston Bruins vs Arizona Coyotes Expert NHL Picks 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Gila River Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Boston Bruins head to Gila River Arena to take on the Arizona Coyotes on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening line for this contest has the Bruins at -121 and the Coyotes at +110.

Boston had a record of 49-24-9 last year and away from home they had a record of 20-15-6-2. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 257 goals and surrendered 212 goals for a point differential of +45. For the year they had an ATS mark of 47-32 and an over/under record of 34-44-4. Arizona finished with a record of 39-35-8 including 16-10-3-0 on home ice last year. They were 4th in the Pacific Division. They scored 209 goals and gave up 220 for a goal differential of -11. Their record against the spread was 35-42 while their over/under mark was 33-47-2.

Valuable Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins were 47-32 straight up last year

The Boston Bruins were 34-44-4 against the over/under last season

Important Arizona Coyotes Betting Trends

The Arizona Coyotes were 35-42 straight up last year

The Arizona Coyotes were 33-47-2 against the over/under last season

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

10/01/19 C David Krejci Lower Body is questionable Thursday vs Dallas
10/01/19 C Joakim Nordstrom Foot IR (10/01)
09/30/19 C Patrice Bergeron Groin is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs Dallas

Key Arizona Coyotes Injuries

10/01/19 D Oliver Ekman-Larsson Illness is probable Thursday vs Anaheim
09/30/19 GO Antti Raanta Lower Body is questionable Thursday vs Anaheim

Player Spotlight

Brad Marchand scored 100 total points last year for the Bruins. He had 36 goals last season with 231 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He had a total of 64 assists on the year and averaged 19.6 minutes played per contest. David Pastrnak averaged 18.8 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 16% by tallying 38 goals on 235 attempts. He had 43 assists giving him a total of 81 points on the year. Tuukka Rask had 27 wins and 13 losses last season in goal for the Bruins. He had 1,245 shots against him and he surrendered 109 goals. He made 1,136 stops for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Derek Stepan had 35 total points last season for the Coyotes. He had 15 goals last year with 195 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He had a total of 20 assists on the year and averaged 19.2 minutes played per contest. Phil Kessel averaged 18 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 27 goals on 215 attempts. He had 55 assists giving him a total of 82 points on the year. Darcy Kuemper had 27 wins and 20 losses last season in net for the Coyotes. He had 1,676 shots against him and he gave up 126 goals. He made 1,550 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins had 107 total points last year, which was 2nd in the NHL. They scored 257 goals while giving up 212 scores, which had them ranked 11th and 28th respectively. They had 251 power play chances and scored 65 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That was 3rd in the league. The Bruins gave up 244 power play opportunities and surrendered 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, ranking them 16th when short-handed. They averaged 33 shots per contest and as a team shot 9.59% for the year. They allowed 29 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 91%, which was 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Coyotes were 19th in the league with a total of 86 points last season. They had 42 power play goals on 258 chances for a percentage of 16%. That was 26th in the NHL. They gave up 226 power play opportunities and surrendered 34 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 85%, ranking 3rd overall. As a team, the Coyotes were 29th with a total of 209 goals scored while they gave up 220 goals last season, ranking 27th in goals against. They averaged 31 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 8.29%. As a unit they gave up 31 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 91%, putting them 6th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.6%, as they've attempted 4,846 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,374 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.9% as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,324 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 5th in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 53.5% of the time, which is 7th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46.5% for the season. That is 25th overall in the NHL. They have 2,454 face-off wins compared to 2,385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,876 hits and they have blocked 1,050 shots from the opposition, putting them 28th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Coyotes are 18th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.2% for the season, which is 14th in the NHL. They have 2,307 face-off wins compared to 2,511 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.9%. That is 28th in the league. On defense Arizona has 2,028 hits and they have blocked 1,298 shots from the opposition, which is 3rd in the league. Arizona is 19th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.2% as they've attempted 4,699 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,851 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.8% ranks 18th as they have 3,525 attempts while they have given up 3,553 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Bruins/Coyotes NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Boston -121

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