Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Expert Game 6 Picks 4/21/2019

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Boston Bruins head to Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday in Game 6 of their 1st round series. Toronto took a 3-2 series lead Friday night with a 2-1 win. The opening line for this contest has the Bruins at -105 and the Maple Leafs at -115.

Boston had a record of 49-24-9 this year. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 257 goals and surrendered 212 goals for a point differential of +45. For the year they have an ATS mark of 51-35-0 and an over/under record of 36-46-0. Toronto had a regular season record of 46-28-8. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 286 goals and given up 249 for a goal differential of +37. Their record against the spread is 48-38-0 while their over/under mark is 41-41-0.

Valuable Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins are 51-35-0 straight up this year

The Boston Bruins are 36-46-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 48-38-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 41-41-0 against the over/under this season

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

04/20/19 D Kevan Miller Lower Body is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

04/15/19 C Nazem Kadri Suspension is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Brad Marchand has scored 100 total points this year for the Bruins. He has 36 goals this season with 231 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 64 assists on the year and averages 19.6 minutes played per contest. David Pastrnak averages 18.8 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by tallying 38 goals on 235 attempts. He has 43 assists, giving him a total of 81 points on the year. Tuukka Rask has 27 wins and 13 losses this season in goal for the Bruins. He has 1,245 shots against him and he's surrendered 109 goals. He's made 1,136 stops for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

John Tavares has 88 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 47 goals this year with 286 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 41 assists on the year and averages 19.1 minutes played per contest. Mitch Marner averages 19.8 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 26 goals on 233 attempts. He has 68 assists, giving him a total of 94 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 36 wins and 16 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,958 shots against him and he's given up 162 goals. He's made 1,796 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins have 107 total points this year, which is 2nd in the NHL. They've scored 257 goals while giving up 212 scores, which has them ranked 11th and 28th respectively. They have had 251 power play chances and scored 65 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That is 3rd in the league. The Bruins have given up 244 power play opportunities and surrendered 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, ranking them 16th when short-handed. They average 33 shots per contest and as a team shoot 9.59% for the year. They allow 29 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 7th in the league with a total of 100 points this season. They have 46 power play goals on 209 chances for a percentage of 22%. That is 8th in the NHL. They've given up 202 power play opportunities and surrendered 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, ranking 19th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 4th with a total of 286 goals scored while they've given up 249 goals this season, ranking 12th in goals against. They average 33 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.45%. As a unit they give up 33 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them 10th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.6%, as they've attempted 4,846 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,374 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.9% as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,324 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 5th in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 53.5% of the time, which is 7th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46.5% for the season. That is 25th overall in the NHL. They have 2,454 face-off wins compared to 2,385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,876 hits and they have blocked 1,050 shots from the opposition, putting them 28th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.7% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 2,629 face-off wins compared to 2,330 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,421 hits and they have blocked 1,113 shots from the opposition, which is 23rd in the league. Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.8% as they've attempted 5,328 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,960 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.8% ranks 11th as they have 3,974 attempts while they have given up 3,847 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Bruins/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Boston -105

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