Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Expert Game 4 Picks Against the Spread 4/17/2019

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Boston Bruins travel to Scotiabank Arena to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday in Game 4 of their 1st round series. Toronto won Game 3 by a score of 3-2 to take a 2-1 series lead. The opening line for this game has the Bruins at +125 and the Maple Leafs at -145.

Boston had a regular season record of 49-24-9 this season. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 257 goals and given up 212 goals for a point differential of +45. For the season they have an ATS record of 50-35-0 and an over/under record of 35-46-0. Toronto was 46-28-8 this season. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 286 goals and surrendered 249 for a goal differential of +37. Their record against the spread is 48-37-0 while their over/under record is 40-41-0.

Valuable Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins are 50-35-0 straight up this year

The Boston Bruins are 35-46-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 48-37-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 40-41-0 against the over/under this season

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

04/14/19 LW Marcus Johansson Illness is questionable vs Toronto
03/31/19 D John Moore Upper Body is out indefinitely
03/23/19 C Sean Kuraly Hand is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

04/13/19 C Nazem Kadri Possible Suspension is questionable vs Boston

Player Spotlight

Brad Marchand has accumulated 100 total points this season for the Bruins. He has 36 goals this year with 231 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 64 assists on the season and averages 19.6 minutes played per game. David Pastrnak averages 18.8 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 16% by scoring 38 goals on 235 shots. He has 43 assists, giving him a total of 81 points on the season. Tuukka Rask has 27 wins and 13 losses this season in net for the Bruins. He has 1,245 shots against him and he's given up 109 goals. He's made 1,136 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

John Tavares has scored 88 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 47 goals this season with 286 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 41 assists on the season and averages 19.1 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 19.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 26 goals on 233 shots. He has 68 assists, giving him a total of 94 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 36 wins and 16 losses this year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,958 shots against him and he's surrendered 162 goals. He's made 1,796 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins have 107 total points this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NHL. They are 11th in the league in goals scored with 257 while they've given up 212 goals, ranking them 28th overall. They have had 251 power play opportunities and have scored 65 goals on those chances for a percentage of 26%. That is 3rd in the NHL. The Bruins have allowed 244 power play opportunities and have given up 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, putting them 16th in the league when short-handed. They average 33 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.59% for the season. They allow 29 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 7th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 7th in the NHL with a total of 100 points this year. They have 46 power play goals on 209 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranks them 8th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 202 power play opportunities and have given up 41 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. That is 19th in the NHL. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 4th in the league with 286 goals scored while they've given up 249 goals, which is 12th overall. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 10.45%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 10th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.6%, as they've attempted 4,846 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,374 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.9% as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,324 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 5th in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 53.5% of the time, which is 7th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46.5% for the season. That is 25th overall in the NHL. They have 2,454 face-off wins compared to 2,385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That ranks them 10th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,876 hits and they have blocked 1,050 shots from the opposition, putting them 28th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 16th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.3% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.7% for the season, which is 16th in the NHL. They have 2,629 face-off wins compared to 2,330 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53%. That is 2nd in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,421 hits and they have blocked 1,113 shots from the opposition, which is 23rd in the league. Toronto is 8th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.8% as they've attempted 5,328 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,960 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.8% ranks 11th as they have 3,974 attempts while they have given up 3,847 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Bruins/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto -145

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