Arizona Coyotes vs Edmonton Oilers Expert NHL Picks Against the Spread 11/4/2019

Monday, November 4, 2019

Rogers Place

Rogers Place is the site where Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (10-4-1, 1st in the Pacific Division) will play the Arizona Coyotes (8-4-1, 6th in the Pacific Division) on Monday. The Coyotes open this contest at +119 while the Oilers are priced at -131. The O/U has been set at 5.5. The Coyotes cover 58.3% of the time, having gone 7-5 SU. Edmonton is covering 64.3% of the time, going 9-5 straight up.

The Arizona Coyotes head into this game holding a record of 8 victories and 4 defeats, putting them at 6th in the Pacific Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 37 goals which ranks them 12th in the Western Conference and 23rd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +9, putting them at 9th in the NHL. The Coyotes have earned a total of 17 pts, which ranks them 17th in the NHL and 9th in the conference. In discussing shots on goal, they have earned a total of 407 which ranks them 13th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a unit, Arizona has compiled a total of 181 hits which means they have an average of 13.9 per contest. They have earned a total of 131 blocks for the year. The man protecting the net for Arizona is Darcy Kuemper from Saskatoon, Saskatchewan. He is 29 years old and has racked up 540 mins defending the net for the season. Kuemper is allowing 1.67 goals per contest which has him sitting 1st in the Western Conference and 2nd in the NHL. So far this year, he has given up 15 goals. His save % is .942 which has him sitting 1st in the Western Conference.

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The Arizona Coyotes had a good night with a 3 - 0 victory over the Colorado Avalanche in their last game. The Coyotes had an average offensive outing in the victory. For this matchup, they scored on 3 out of the 28 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 2 power play attempts and were able to net 1 goal out of those attempts. Arizona racked up 15 penalty minutes while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Coyotes was 40 and the Corsi against was 43 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 48.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 32 while the Fenwick against was 31, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.8%. They took 18 face-off wins and lost 23 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 58.1% and they had a PDO of 108.3 in this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Colorado Avalanche earned 33 shots. They finished with 11 penalty minutes and they had 4 power play attempts.

The Oilers will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they have 10 victories and 4 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they rank 5th in the Western Conference and 11th in the league with +6. They currently have a total of 43 goals for the year which ranks them 7th in the West. Edmonton has a team save % of .921 which currently has them ranked 7th in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.1% putting them at 5th in the Western Conference. In net for Edmonton is Mike Smith who is having an average campaign by allowing 2.12 goals per contest and that ranks him 2nd in the West and 4th among goaltenders in the NHL. In the 509 mins he has been on the ice this year, he's surrendered 18 goals. His save % is .931, which places him at 3rd in the West and 6th among goaltenders in the NHL.

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The Edmonton Oilers faced off against the Pittsburgh Penguins in a matchup where the Oilers got the victory by a final of 2 - 1. In this outing, Edmonton wound up with a 31.8% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 27 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 58. They had a Fenwick percentage of 31.8% by earning a Fenwick of 21 and the Penguins having earned a 45 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Edmonton had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. They had a PDO of 112.5 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 40.5%. The Oilers converted 2 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play chances in this game but weren't able to score a goal. As for their opponent, the Penguins had 5 power play opportunities but didn't put the puck in goal. Edmonton gave way to 52 shots on goal and the Penguins had 4 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Arizona (+119)

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