Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals NHL Picks & Predictions 3/3/2018

Saturday, March 3, 2018

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to play the Washington Capitals on Saturday, March 3, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +113 and the Capitals at -125.

Toronto has a record of 39-20-7 this season and on the road they have a record of 17-12-5-2. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 218 goals and given up 185 goals for a point differential of +33. For the season they have an ATS record of 39-27-0 and an over/under record of 31-31-0. Washington has a record of 36-21-7 including 22-9-2-0 at home this season. They are 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They've scored 198 goals and surrendered 191 for a goal differential of +7. Their record against the spread is 36-28-0 while their over/under record is 37-26-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-27-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 31-31-0 against the over/under this season

Important Washington Capitals Betting Trends

The Washington Capitals are 36-28-0 straight up this year

The Washington Capitals are 37-26-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
02/27/18 RW Kyle Baun Acquired is "?" Saturday vs Washington
02/25/18 C Auston Matthews Upper Body IR (02/22)

Key Washington Capitals Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Frederik Andersen has 32 wins and 16 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,846 shots against him and he's given up 144 goals. He's made 1,702 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Mitch Marner has accumulated 53 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 17 goals this year with 156 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 36 assists on the season and averages 15.9 minutes played per game. William Nylander averages 16.7 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 14 goals on 144 shots. He has 35 assists, giving him a total of 49 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Alex Ovechkin has scored 71 total points this year for the Capitals. He has 39 goals this season with 276 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 32 assists on the season and averages 20 minutes played per game. Braden Holtby has 28 wins and 14 losses this year in goal for the Capitals. He has 1,430 shots against him and he's surrendered 132 goals. He's made 1,298 saves for a save percentage of 91%. Nicklas Backstrom averages 19.7 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 15 goals on 119 shots. He has 31 assists, giving him a total of 46 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have allowed 189 power play opportunities and have given up 31 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84% this year. That is 3rd in the NHL. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.38% for the season. They allow 34 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is ranked 4th in the league. The Maple Leafs has 85 total points this season, ranking 5th in the NHL in offense. They are 2nd in the league with 218 goals while they've given up 185 goals, which is 18th overall. They have had 182 power play opportunities and scored 37 goals on those chances for a percentage of 20%. That is 16th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Capitals are 10th with 198 goals scored while they are 14th in the NHL with 191 goals allowed this year. They average 29 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 10.81%. They give up 32 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 21st place in the league. The Capitals have a total of 79 points this year, which is 9th in the NHL. They have 41 power play goals on 189 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranks their power play unit 5th. They've allowed 216 power play opportunities and have given up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, which is 18th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 18th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.6%, as they've attempted 3,984 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,046 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.4% as they have 2,953 attempts while they have given up 3,142 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 26th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.6% of the time, which is 24th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.4% for the season. That is 10th overall in the NHL. They have 2,166 face-off wins compared to 2,014 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That ranks them 6th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,335 hits and they have blocked 904 shots from the opposition, putting them 22nd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Capitals are 25th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 49.4% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 50.6% for the season, which is 11th in the NHL. They have 1,905 face-off wins compared to 1,892 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.2%. That is 17th in the league. On defense Washington has 1,401 hits and they have blocked 925 shots from the opposition, which is 18th in the league. Washington is 26th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 47.5% as they've attempted 3,530 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,896 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 46.8% ranks 31st as they have 2,610 attempts while they have given up 2,971 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Capitals NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Washington -125

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