Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Picks & Predictions 2/26/2018

Monday, February 26, 2018

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday, February 26, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Maple Leafs at +158 and the Lightning at -175.

Toronto has a record of 39-20-5 this year and away from home they have a record of 17-12-3-1. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They have tallied 213 goals and surrendered 178 goals for a point differential of +35. For the year they have an ATS mark of 39-25-0 and an over/under record of 30-30-0. Tampa Bay has a record of 42-17-3 including 20-6-1-0 on home ice this year. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 223 goals and have given up 167 for a goal differential of +56. Their record against the spread is 42-20-0 while their over/under mark is 39-22-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-25-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 30-30-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 42-20-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 39-22-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
02/25/18 C Auston Matthews Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

12/30/17 GO Peter Budaj Leg IR (12/29)
01/22/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body IR (01/20)

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has scored 51 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 16 goals this season with 151 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 35 assists on the year and averages 15.8 minutes played per contest. William Nylander averages 16.7 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by tallying 14 goals on 142 attempts. He has 34 assists, giving him a total of 48 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 32 wins and 16 losses this season in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,804 shots against him and he's surrendered 141 goals. He's made 1,663 stops for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has 82 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 33 goals this year with 227 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 49 assists on the year and averages 20.2 minutes played per contest. Brayden Point averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 25 goals on 165 attempts. He has 29 assists, giving him a total of 54 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 36 wins and 12 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 1,612 shots against him and he's given up 117 goals. He's made 1,495 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 83 total points this year, which is 4th in the NHL. They've scored 213 goals while giving up 178 scores, which has them ranked 3rd and 19th respectively. They have had 176 power play chances and scored 36 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 20%. That is 14th in the league. The Maple Leafs have given up 181 power play opportunities and surrendered 30 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking them 2nd when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 10.48% for the year. They allow 34 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is 4th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the league with a total of 87 points this season. They have 54 power play goals on 218 chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 2nd in the NHL. They've given up 203 power play opportunities and surrendered 45 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, ranking 24th overall. As a team, the Lightning are 1st with a total of 223 goals scored while they've given up 167 goals this season, ranking 24th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 11.12%. As a unit they give up 32 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 5th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto has a Corsi percentage of 49.6% as they've tried 3,862 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 3,930 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. That ranks them 18th in Corsi percentage. They are 24th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 48.4% as they have 2,859 shots while they've given up 3,047 attempts on defense. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.5% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.5% for the year. That puts them 25th and 7th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They have 2,101 face-off wins as opposed to 1,953 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That is 6th overall in the NHL. On defense Toronto has 1,300 hits and they've blocked 883 attempts from opposing offenses, which is 20th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 7th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 52.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 47.2% for the season, which is 27th in the NHL. They have 1,828 face-off wins compared to 2,013 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.6%. That is 29th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,262 hits and they have blocked 880 shots from the opposition, which is 21st in the league. Tampa Bay is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.5% as they've attempted 3,791 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,567 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.4% ranks 15th as they have 2,843 attempts while they have given up 2,687 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto +158

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