Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Picks & Predictions 12/13/2018

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, December 13, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Maple Leafs at +115 and the Lightning at -140.

Toronto has a record of 21-9-1 this year. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 113 goals and surrendered 85 goals for a point differential of +28. For the year they have an ATS mark of 20-10-0 and an over/under record of 14-13-0. Tampa Bay has a record of 24-7-1 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 130 goals and given up 91 for a goal differential of +39. Their record against the spread is 24-8-0 while their over/under mark is 17-13-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 20-10-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 14-13-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 24-8-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 17-13-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/10/18 C Zach Hyman Suspension 2-game suspension

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

11/29/18 D Anton Stralman Upper Body is out indefinitely
11/15/18 GO Andrei Vasilevskiy Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has scored 41 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 6 goals this season with 83 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 7%. He has a total of 35 assists on the year and averages 19.4 minutes played per contest. Morgan Rielly averages 22.3 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by tallying 10 goals on 83 attempts. He has 23 assists, giving him a total of 33 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 17 wins and 8 losses this season in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 828 shots against him and he's surrendered 60 goals. He's made 768 stops for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has 45 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 12 goals this year with 83 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 33 assists on the year and averages 18.5 minutes played per contest. Brayden Point averages 17.9 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 25% by scoring 21 goals on 85 attempts. He has 20 assists, giving him a total of 41 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 9 wins and 3 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 412 shots against him and he's given up 30 goals. He's made 382 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 43 total points this year, which is 2nd in the NHL. They've scored 113 goals while giving up 85 scores, which has them ranked 2nd and 23rd respectively. They have had 81 power play chances and scored 21 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That is 7th in the league. The Maple Leafs have given up 80 power play opportunities and surrendered 16 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%, ranking them 14th when short-handed. They average 31 shots per contest and as a team shoot 11.63% for the year. They allow 34 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is 3rd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the league with a total of 49 points this season. They have 33 power play goals on 113 chances for a percentage of 29%. That is 3rd in the NHL. They've given up 106 power play opportunities and surrendered 18 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking 8th overall. As a team, the Lightning are 1st with a total of 130 goals scored while they've given up 91 goals this season, ranking 18th in goals against. They average 33 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 12.26%. As a unit they give up 31 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them 9th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.1%, as they've attempted 1,946 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 1,940 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.8% as they have 1,438 attempts while they have given up 1,506 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 21st in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 49.5% of the time, which is 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 50.5% for the season. That is 14th overall in the NHL. They have 991 face-off wins compared to 924 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.7%. That ranks them 6th in the league. On defense Toronto has 555 hits and they have blocked 434 shots from the opposition, putting them 15th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 13th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 51.4% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 48.6% for the season, which is 18th in the NHL. They have 963 face-off wins compared to 948 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.4%. That is 13th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 790 hits and they have blocked 430 shots from the opposition, which is 19th in the league. Tampa Bay is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.9% as they've attempted 1,913 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 1,775 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52% ranks 9th as they have 1,456 attempts while they have given up 1,345 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto +115

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