Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Picks & Predictions 11/3/2018

Saturday, November 3, 2018

PPG Paints Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to PPG Paints Arena to play the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday, November 3, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +123 and the Penguins at -159.

Toronto has a record of 8-5-0 this season. They are 4th in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 43 goals and given up 39 goals for a point differential of +4. For the season they have an ATS record of 8-4-0 and an over/under record of 4-8-0. Pittsburgh has a record of 6-2-3 this year. They are 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They've scored 45 goals and surrendered 35 for a goal differential of +10. Their record against the spread is 6-4-0 while their over/under record is 5-4-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-4-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Important Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 6-4-0 straight up this year

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 5-4-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

10/28/18 C Auston Matthews Shoulder is out 4-6 weeks

Key Pittsburgh Penguins Injuries

11/02/18 C Derick Brassard Lower Body is questionable Saturday vs Toronto
10/15/18 D Justin Schultz Lower Body is out indefinitely
10/04/18 GO Tristan Jarry Lower Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Frederik Andersen has 6 wins and 5 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 326 shots against him and he's given up 27 goals. He's made 299 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Morgan Rielly has accumulated 16 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 4 goals this year with 40 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 12 assists on the season and averages 22.4 minutes played per game. Auston Matthews averages 17.4 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 26% by scoring 10 goals on 38 shots. He has 6 assists, giving him a total of 16 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Sidney Crosby has scored 14 total points this year for the Penguins. He has 6 goals this season with 30 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 20%. He has a total of 8 assists on the season and averages 20.2 minutes played per game. Matt Murray has 4 wins and 2 losses this year in goal for the Penguins. He has 223 shots against him and he's surrendered 23 goals. He's made 200 saves for a save percentage of 90%. Kris Letang averages 25.6 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 4 goals on 31 shots. He has 8 assists, giving him a total of 12 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have allowed 35 power play opportunities and have given up 7 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80% this year. That is 13th in the NHL. They average 31 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.67% for the season. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%, which is ranked 17th in the league. The Maple Leafs have 16 total points this season, ranking 6th in the NHL in offense. They are 5th in the league with 43 goals while they've given up 39 goals, which is 14th overall. They have had 36 power play opportunities and scored 11 goals on those chances for a percentage of 31%. That is 3rd in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Penguins are 4th with 45 goals scored while they are 18th in the NHL with 35 goals allowed this year. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 12.86%. They give up 34 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 11th place in the league. The Penguins have a total of 15 points this year, which is 11th in the NHL. They have 9 power play goals on 31 opportunities for a percentage of 29%. That ranks their power play unit 6th. They've allowed 31 power play opportunities and have given up 4 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 87%, which is 4th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.5%, as they've attempted 826 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 778 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.6% as they have 605 attempts while they have given up 591 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 51.3% of the time, which is 14th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.7% for the season. That is 17th overall in the NHL. They have 385 face-off wins compared to 403 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.9%. That ranks them 19th in the league. On defense Toronto has 260 hits and they have blocked 187 shots from the opposition, putting them 10th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Penguins are 30th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 43.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 56.8% for the season, which is 2nd in the NHL. They have 360 face-off wins compared to 331 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.1%. That is 7th in the league. On defense Pittsburgh has 301 hits and they have blocked 167 shots from the opposition, which is 20th in the league. Pittsburgh is 18th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.2% as they've attempted 656 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 678 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.3% ranks 20th as they have 497 attempts while they have given up 511 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Penguins NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh -159

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