Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars NHL Picks & Predictions 1/25/2018

Thursday, January 25, 2018

American Airlines Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Stars on Thursday, January 25, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +104 and the Stars at -115.

Toronto has a record of 26-18-5 this season and on the road they have a record of 13-10-3-1. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 155 goals and given up 143 goals for a point differential of +12. For the season they have an ATS record of 26-23-0 and an over/under record of 23-22-0. Dallas is 28-17-4 including 17-6-1-0 at home this season. They are 4th in the Central Division. They've scored 154 goals and surrendered 130 for a goal differential of +24. Their record against the spread is 28-21-0 while their over/under record is 28-20-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 26-23-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 23-22-0 against the over/under this season

Important Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars are 28-21-0 straight up this year

The Dallas Stars are 28-20-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

12/18/17 RW Nikita Soshnikov Lower Body IR (12/11)
12/17/17 D Nikita Zaitsev Foot IR (12/16)
11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
01/22/18 D Morgan Rielly Arm IR (01/20)

Key Dallas Stars Injuries

01/23/18 C Martin Hanzal Lower Body is "?" Thursday vs Toronto
01/12/18 D Marc Methot Knee IR (01/05)

Player Spotlight

William Nylander has accumulated 33 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 9 goals this year with 112 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He has a total of 24 assists on the season and averages 16.7 minutes played per game. Auston Matthews averages 18.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 21 goals on 124 shots. He has 15 assists, giving him a total of 36 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 23 wins and 14 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,384 shots against him and he's given up 111 goals. He's made 1,273 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Tyler Seguin has scored 42 total points this year for the Stars. He has 22 goals this season with 195 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 20 assists on the season and averages 20.2 minutes played per game. Jamie Benn averages 19.4 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 20 goals on 146 shots. He has 27 assists, giving him a total of 47 points on the season. Ben Bishop has 21 wins and 12 losses this year in goal for the Stars. He has 1,078 shots against him and he's surrendered 88 goals. He's made 990 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have 57 total points this season, which ranks them 12th in the NHL. They are 6th in the league in goals scored with 155 while they've given up 143 goals, ranking them 13th overall. They have had 137 power play opportunities and have scored 28 goals on those chances for a percentage of 20%. That is 11th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have allowed 148 power play opportunities and have given up 24 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%, putting them 5th in the league when short-handed. They average 31 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.11% for the season. They allow 34 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 12th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Stars are 8th in the NHL with a total of 60 points this year. They have 31 power play goals on 150 opportunities for a percentage of 21%. That ranks them 8th in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 169 power play opportunities and have given up 31 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. That is 15th in the NHL. As a team, the Stars are 7th in the league with 154 goals scored while they've given up 130 goals, which is 23rd overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.94%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%. That is 18th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.8%, as they've attempted 2,942 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,967 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.5% as they have 2,159 attempts while they have given up 2,296 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 21st in the league. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 49% of the time, which is 23rd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 51% for the season. That is 10th overall in the NHL. They have 1,606 face-off wins compared to 1,498 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.7%. That ranks them 8th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,003 hits and they have blocked 671 shots from the opposition, putting them 22nd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Stars are 27th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 47.6% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 52.4% for the season, which is 5th in the NHL. They have 1,637 face-off wins compared to 1,465 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 52.8%. That is 1st in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,014 hits and they have blocked 712 shots from the opposition, which is 15th in the league. Dallas is 6th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.5% as they've attempted 2,870 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,699 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.5% ranks 6th as they have 2,112 attempts while they have given up 1,987 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Stars NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -115

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