Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Picks & Predictions 4/21/2018

Saturday, April 21, 2018

TD Garden

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to TD Garden to play the Boston Bruins on Saturday, April 21, 2018 in Game 5 of their 1st round series. Boston leads the series 3-1. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +135 and the Bruins at -180.

Toronto had a record of 49-26-7 this season and on the road they had a mark of 20-16-5-2. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 277 goals and gave up 232 goals for a point differential of +45. For the season they have an ATS record of 50-36-0 and an over/under record of 44-36-0. Boston had a record of 50-20-12 including 28-8-5-0 at home this season. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 270 goals and surrendered 214 for a goal differential of +56. Their record against the spread is 53-33-0 while their over/under record is 38-43-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 50-36-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 44-36-0 against the over/under this season

Important Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins are 53-33-0 straight up this year

The Boston Bruins are 38-43-0 against the over/under this season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

04/19/18 C Leo Komarov Lower Body is "?" Saturday vs Boston
04/19/18 C Nazem Kadri Suspension Served is probable Saturday vs Boston
04/08/18 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

04/19/18 C Patrice Bergeron Upper Body is "?" Saturday vs Toronto
04/01/18 D Brandon Carlo Lower Body is out indefinitely
02/01/18 LW Anders Bjork Shoulder IR (01/30)

Player Spotlight

Frederik Andersen has 38 wins and 21 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 2,211 shots against him and he's given up 182 goals. He's made 2,029 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Auston Matthews has accumulated 63 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 34 goals this year with 187 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 18%. He has a total of 29 assists on the season and averages 18.1 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averages 16.4 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 22 goals on 194 shots. He has 47 assists, giving him a total of 69 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Brad Marchand has scored 85 total points this year for the Bruins. He has 34 goals this season with 182 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 19%. He has a total of 51 assists on the season and averages 19.7 minutes played per game. Tuukka Rask has 34 wins and 14 losses this year in goal for the Bruins. He has 1,513 shots against him and he's surrendered 125 goals. He's made 1,388 saves for a save percentage of 92%. David Pastrnak averages 18 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 35 goals on 246 shots. He has 45 assists, giving him a total of 80 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs have allowed 231 power play opportunities and have given up 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81% this year. That is 11th in the NHL. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.49% for the season. They allow 34 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is ranked 4th in the league. The Maple Leafs has 105 total points this season, ranking 6th in the NHL in offense. They are 2nd in the league with 277 goals while they've given up 232 goals, which is 21st overall. They have had 224 power play opportunities and scored 56 goals on those chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 2nd in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Bruins are 6th with 270 goals scored while they are 29th in the NHL with 214 goals allowed this year. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.99%. They give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 9th place in the league. The Bruins have a total of 112 points this year, which is 4th in the NHL. They have 61 power play goals on 258 opportunities for a percentage of 24%. That ranks their power play unit 4th. They've allowed 245 power play opportunities and have given up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%, which is 3rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto has a Corsi percentage of 50.2% as they've tried 4,998 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 4,965 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. That ranks them 18th in Corsi percentage. They are 22nd in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 49% as they have 3,709 shots while they've given up 3,861 attempts on defense. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.9% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.1% for the year. That puts them 26th and 10th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They have 2,688 face-off wins as opposed to 2,499 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That is 6th overall in the NHL. On defense Toronto has 1,632 hits and they've blocked 1,104 attempts from opposing offenses, which is 27th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Bruins are 3rd in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 55.1% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 44.9% for the season, which is 29th in the NHL. They have 2,577 face-off wins compared to 2,501 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That is 9th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,914 hits and they have blocked 1,072 shots from the opposition, which is 30th in the league. Boston is 2nd in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.7% as they've attempted 4,909 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,404 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 52.8% ranks 2nd as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,332 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Bruins NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -180

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