Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 2/12/2018

Monday, February 12, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning head to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, February 12, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Lightning at +100 and the Maple Leafs at -110.

Tampa Bay has a record of 38-14-3 this year and away from home they have a record of 19-9-2-2. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have tallied 198 goals and surrendered 145 goals for a point differential of +53. For the year they have an ATS mark of 38-17-0 and an over/under record of 34-21-0. Toronto has a record of 33-19-5 including 17-8-2-0 on home ice this year. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 188 goals and have given up 159 for a goal differential of +29. Their record against the spread is 33-24-0 while their over/under mark is 25-28-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 38-17-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 34-21-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 33-24-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 25-28-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

12/30/17 GO Peter Budaj Leg IR (12/29)
01/22/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body IR (01/20)

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has scored 69 total points this year for the Lightning. He has 29 goals this season with 190 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 40 assists on the year and averages 20.1 minutes played per contest. Brayden Point averages 19.4 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by tallying 20 goals on 140 attempts. He has 26 assists, giving him a total of 46 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 33 wins and 10 losses this season in goal for the Lightning. He has 1,453 shots against him and he's surrendered 103 goals. He's made 1,350 stops for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Auston Matthews has 44 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 26 goals this year with 144 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 18%. He has a total of 18 assists on the year and averages 18.4 minutes played per contest. William Nylander averages 16.6 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 12 goals on 129 attempts. He has 30 assists, giving him a total of 42 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 27 wins and 15 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,576 shots against him and he's given up 124 goals. He's made 1,452 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have 79 total points this year, which is 1st in the NHL. They've scored 198 goals while giving up 145 scores, which has them ranked 1st and 27th respectively. They have had 191 power play chances and scored 46 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 24%. That is 2nd in the league. The Lightning have given up 182 power play opportunities and surrendered 39 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 79%, ranking them 23rd when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 11.14% for the year. They allow 32 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is 3rd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 7th in the league with a total of 71 points this season. They have 33 power play goals on 160 chances for a percentage of 21%. That is 15th in the NHL. They've given up 169 power play opportunities and surrendered 29 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking 5th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 3rd with a total of 188 goals scored while they've given up 159 goals this season, ranking 17th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.35%. As a unit they give up 34 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 5th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay has a Corsi percentage of 51.5% as they've tried 3,357 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 3,161 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. That ranks them 8th in Corsi percentage. They are 14th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 51.3% as they have 2,512 shots while they've given up 2,380 attempts on defense. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 52.8% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.2% for the year. That puts them 9th and 27th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They have 1,614 face-off wins as opposed to 1,789 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.4%. That is 30th overall in the NHL. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,111 hits and they've blocked 781 attempts from opposing offenses, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.7% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.3% for the year. That ranks them 24th and 10th respectively in the NHL. They have 1,858 face-off wins as opposed to 1,753 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.5%. That is 8th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,163 hits and they've blocked 796 attempts from opposing offenses, ranking them 18th in blocked shots. Toronto is ranked 18th in Corsi percentage with 49.7% as they've tried 3,452 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 3,487 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage is 21st in the NHL at 48.7%, as they have 2,554 shots while they've given up 2,691 attempts on defense.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay +100

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