Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators NHL Picks & Predictions 11/4/2018

Sunday, November 4, 2018

Canadian Tire Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning head to Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators on Sunday, November 4, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Lightning at -175 and the Senators at +145.

Tampa Bay has a record of 8-3-1 this year. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 42 goals and surrendered 34 goals for a point differential of +8. For the year they have an ATS mark of 8-4-0 and an over/under record of 5-7-0. Ottawa has a record of 5-5-2 this season. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 40 goals and given up 46 for a goal differential of -6. Their record against the spread is 5-7-0 while their over/under mark is 8-2-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-4-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 5-7-0 against the over/under this season

Important Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

The Ottawa Senators are 5-7-0 straight up this year

The Ottawa Senators are 8-2-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

11/02/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body is questionable Saturday vs Montreal
10/29/18 D Victor Hedman Upper Body is out indefinitely

Key Ottawa Senators Injuries

11/02/18 D Ben Harpur Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Buffalo
11/02/18 D Mark Borowiecki Suspension Served is probable Saturday vs Buffalo
10/30/18 LW Zack Smith Facial IR (10/30)
10/17/18 LW Brady Tkachuk Leg is out indefinitely
10/12/18 LW Alex Formenton Concussion IR (10/12)
10/12/18 D Cody Ceci Upper Body is out indefinitely
10/12/18 LW Ryan Dzingel Lower Body is out indefinitely
10/04/18 RW Marian Gaborik Back is out indefinitely
10/01/18 C Jean-Gabriel Pageau Achilles is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Yanni Gourde has scored 12 total points this year for the Lightning. He has 4 goals this season with 26 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 8 assists on the year and averages 17.6 minutes played per contest. Brayden Point averages 17.2 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 27% by tallying 7 goals on 26 attempts. He has 7 assists, giving him a total of 14 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 6 wins and 2 losses this season in goal for the Lightning. He has 271 shots against him and he's surrendered 19 goals. He's made 252 stops for a save percentage of 93%.

Player Spotlight

Chris Tierney has 11 total points this season for the Senators. He has 2 goals this year with 21 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 9 assists on the year and averages 18.6 minutes played per contest. Thomas Chabot averages 22.8 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 3 goals on 26 attempts. He has 12 assists, giving him a total of 15 points on the year. Craig Anderson has 5 wins and 3 losses this season in net for the Senators. He has 420 shots against him and he's given up 36 goals. He's made 384 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have 17 total points this year, which is 3rd in the NHL. They've scored 42 goals while giving up 34 scores, which has them ranked 10th and 23rd respectively. They have had 43 power play chances and scored 12 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 28%. That is 7th in the league. The Lightning have given up 45 power play opportunities and surrendered 3 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 93%, ranking them 1st when short-handed. They average 34 shots per contest and as a team shoot 10.42% for the year. They allow 32 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Senators are 22nd in the league with a total of 12 points this season. They have 10 power play goals on 40 chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 11th in the NHL. They've given up 42 power play opportunities and surrendered 13 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 69%, ranking 28th overall. As a team, the Senators are 15th with a total of 40 goals scored while they've given up 46 goals this season, ranking 6th in goals against. They average 28 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 11.83%. As a unit they give up 39 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 90%, putting them 17th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 13th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.1%, as they've attempted 720 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 688 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.9% as they have 540 attempts while they have given up 520 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 10th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 51.1% of the time, which is 16th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.9% for the season. That is 16th overall in the NHL. They have 361 face-off wins compared to 366 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.7%. That ranks them 18th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 291 hits and they have blocked 168 shots from the opposition, putting them 19th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Senators are 31st in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 43% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 57% for the season, which is 1st in the NHL. They have 390 face-off wins compared to 385 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.3%. That is 14th in the league. On defense Ottawa has 257 hits and they have blocked 224 shots from the opposition, which is 4th in the league. Ottawa is 30th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 42.1% as they've attempted 618 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 850 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 42.8% ranks 29th as they have 468 attempts while they have given up 626 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Senators NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay -175

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