Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres NHL Picks & Predictions 11/13/2018

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

KeyBank Center

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to KeyBank Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday, November 13, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Lightning at -140 and the Sabres at +127.

Tampa Bay has a record of 12-4-1 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 63 goals and given up 48 goals for a point differential of +15. For the season they have an ATS record of 12-5-0 and an over/under record of 8-8-0. Buffalo has a record of 9-6-2 this year. They are 5th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 53 goals and surrendered 52 for a goal differential of +1. Their record against the spread is 9-8-0 while their over/under record is 10-6-0.

Valuable Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 12-5-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-8-0 against the over/under this season

Important Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 9-8-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 10-6-0 against the over/under this season

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

11/12/18 LW Adam Erne Upper Body is questionable Tuesday vs Buffalo
11/12/18 D Anton Stralman Upper Body is questionable Tuesday vs Buffalo
11/08/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body is out indefinitely

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

10/04/18 C Scott Wilson Leg is out indefinitely
10/04/18 C Sean Malone Knee is out indefinitely
10/03/18 C Johan Larsson Foot IR (10/03)

Player Spotlight

Andrei Vasilevskiy has 9 wins and 3 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 412 shots against him and he's given up 30 goals. He's made 382 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Yanni Gourde has accumulated 17 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 7 goals this year with 40 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 18%. He has a total of 10 assists on the season and averages 17.5 minutes played per game. Brayden Point averages 17.1 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 23% by scoring 9 goals on 40 shots. He has 10 assists, giving him a total of 19 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Jack Eichel has scored 19 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 4 goals this season with 66 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 6%. He has a total of 15 assists on the season and averages 19.8 minutes played per game. Carter Hutton has 6 wins and 6 losses this year in goal for the Sabres. He has 386 shots against him and he's surrendered 34 goals. He's made 352 saves for a save percentage of 91%. Jeff Skinner averages 17.6 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 21% by scoring 12 goals on 57 shots. He has 7 assists, giving him a total of 19 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning have allowed 65 power play opportunities and have given up 8 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 88% this year. That is 3rd in the NHL. They average 34 shots per game and as a team shoot 10.98% for the season. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is ranked 9th in the league. The Lightning have 25 total points this season, ranking 2nd in the NHL in offense. They are 1st in the league with 63 goals while they've given up 48 goals, which is 21st overall. They have had 62 power play opportunities and scored 15 goals on those chances for a percentage of 24%. That is 9th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Sabres are 15th with 53 goals scored while they are 16th in the NHL with 52 goals allowed this year. They average 33 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.45%. They give up 32 shots per game and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them in 14th place in the league. The Sabres have a total of 20 points this year, which is 11th in the NHL. They have 11 power play goals on 61 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranks their power play unit 18th. They've allowed 54 power play opportunities and have given up 10 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, which is 13th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Tampa Bay is 11th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51%, as they've attempted 1,032 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 993 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.8% as they have 769 attempts while they have given up 744 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 12th in the league. The Lightning start possessions in the offensive zone 51.2% of the time, which is 15th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.8% for the season. That is 17th overall in the NHL. They have 514 face-off wins compared to 518 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.8%. That ranks them 18th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 420 hits and they have blocked 249 shots from the opposition, putting them 10th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Sabres are 17th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.2% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.8% for the season, which is 15th in the NHL. They have 516 face-off wins compared to 525 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.6%. That is 19th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 304 hits and they have blocked 230 shots from the opposition, which is 21st in the league. Buffalo is 16th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.4% as they've attempted 979 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 965 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51% ranks 11th as they have 766 attempts while they have given up 735 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Lightning/Sabres NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +127

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