Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 3/10/2018

Saturday, March 10, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Pittsburgh Penguins head to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday, March 10, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Penguins at -103 and the Maple Leafs at -107.

Pittsburgh has a record of 39-25-4 this year and away from home they have a record of 14-17-3-2. They are 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They have tallied 224 goals and surrendered 205 goals for a point differential of +19. For the year they have an ATS mark of 39-29-0 and an over/under record of 37-29-0. Toronto has a record of 39-22-7 including 22-8-2-0 on home ice this year. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 223 goals and have given up 195 for a goal differential of +28. Their record against the spread is 39-29-0 while their over/under mark is 33-31-0.

Valuable Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 39-29-0 straight up this year

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 37-29-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-29-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 33-31-0 against the over/under this season

Key Pittsburgh Penguins Injuries

03/02/18 RW Zach Aston-Reese Upper Body is out indefinitely
02/27/18 GO Matt Murray Concussion is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
02/25/18 C Auston Matthews Upper Body IR (02/22)

Player Spotlight

Phil Kessel has scored 77 total points this year for the Penguins. He has 28 goals this season with 227 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 49 assists on the year and averages 18.8 minutes played per contest. Sidney Crosby averages 20.8 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by tallying 22 goals on 197 attempts. He has 51 assists, giving him a total of 73 points on the year. Casey DeSmith has 3 wins and 4 losses this season in goal for the Penguins. He has 231 shots against him and he's surrendered 20 goals. He's made 211 stops for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has 54 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 18 goals this year with 162 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 36 assists on the year and averages 16 minutes played per contest. William Nylander averages 16.7 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 14 goals on 145 attempts. He has 36 assists, giving him a total of 50 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 32 wins and 18 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,895 shots against him and he's given up 154 goals. He's made 1,741 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Penguins have 82 total points this year, which is 8th in the NHL. They've scored 224 goals while giving up 205 scores, which has them ranked 4th and 11th respectively. They have had 216 power play chances and scored 57 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 26%. That is 1st in the league. The Penguins have given up 224 power play opportunities and surrendered 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, ranking them 11th when short-handed. They average 34 shots per contest and as a team shoot 9.62% for the year. They allow 31 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 90%, which is 24th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 6th in the league with a total of 85 points this season. They have 39 power play goals on 186 chances for a percentage of 21%. That is 10th in the NHL. They've given up 193 power play opportunities and surrendered 34 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, ranking 10th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 5th with a total of 223 goals scored while they've given up 195 goals this season, ranking 19th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.27%. As a unit they give up 34 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 6th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Pittsburgh is 11th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4%, as they've attempted 4,113 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,896 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52% as they have 3,136 attempts while they have given up 2,893 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 7th in the league. The Penguins start possessions in the offensive zone 51.9% of the time, which is 10th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.1% for the season. That is 22nd overall in the NHL. They have 2,125 face-off wins compared to 2,106 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.2%. That ranks them 16th in the league. On defense Pittsburgh has 1,633 hits and they have blocked 1,003 shots from the opposition, putting them 14th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 49% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51% for the year. That ranks them 26th and 10th respectively in the NHL. They have 2,223 face-off wins as opposed to 2,089 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.6%. That is 7th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,384 hits and they've blocked 920 attempts from opposing offenses, ranking them 27th in blocked shots. Toronto is ranked 18th in Corsi percentage with 49.9% as they've tried 4,118 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 4,138 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage is 21st in the NHL at 48.7%, as they have 3,050 shots while they've given up 3,218 attempts on defense.

Who will win tonight's Penguins/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Pittsburgh -103

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