Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Picks & Predictions 3/3/2018

Saturday, March 3, 2018

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Philadelphia Flyers travel to Amalie Arena to play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday, March 3, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Flyers at +140 and the Lightning at -155.

Philadelphia has a record of 34-20-10 this season and on the road they have a record of 18-10-4-2. They are 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They've scored 190 goals and given up 182 goals for a point differential of +8. For the season they have an ATS record of 34-30-0 and an over/under record of 33-29-0. Tampa Bay is 44-17-4 including 21-6-2-0 at home this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 233 goals and surrendered 176 for a goal differential of +57. Their record against the spread is 44-21-0 while their over/under record is 41-23-0.

Valuable Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Flyers are 34-30-0 straight up this year

The Philadelphia Flyers are 33-29-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 44-21-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 41-23-0 against the over/under this season

Key Philadelphia Flyers Injuries

03/01/18 D Johnny Oduya Acquired is "?" Saturday vs Tampa Bay
02/20/18 GO Michal Neuvirth Lower Body IR (02/18)
02/20/18 RW Wayne Simmonds Upper Body IR (02/19)
02/13/18 GO Brian Elliott Abdominal IR (02/10)

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

12/30/17 GO Peter Budaj Leg IR (12/29)
03/02/18 RW Nikita Kucherov Upper Body is "?" Saturday vs Philadelphia
03/01/18 D Ryan McDonagh Upper Body is OUT Saturday vs Philadelphia
01/22/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body IR (01/20)

Player Spotlight

Claude Giroux has accumulated 75 total points this season for the Flyers. He has 22 goals this year with 142 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 53 assists on the season and averages 20.3 minutes played per game. Jakub Voracek averages 19.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 7% by scoring 13 goals on 180 shots. He has 56 assists, giving him a total of 69 points on the season. Petr Mrazek has 11 wins and 8 losses this season in net for the Flyers. He has 741 shots against him and he's given up 65 goals. He's made 676 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has scored 82 total points this year for the Lightning. He has 33 goals this season with 227 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 15%. He has a total of 49 assists on the season and averages 20 minutes played per game. Brayden Point averages 19.8 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 26 goals on 170 shots. He has 29 assists, giving him a total of 55 points on the season. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 37 wins and 12 losses this year in goal for the Lightning. He has 1,676 shots against him and he's surrendered 122 goals. He's made 1,554 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flyers have 78 total points this season, which ranks them 10th in the NHL. They are 15th in the league in goals scored with 190 while they've given up 182 goals, ranking them 20th overall. They have had 211 power play opportunities and have scored 44 goals on those chances for a percentage of 21%. That is 11th in the NHL. The Flyers have allowed 179 power play opportunities and have given up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 75%, putting them 29th in the league when short-handed. They average 31 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.44% for the season. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%. That puts them 20th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the NHL with a total of 92 points this year. They have 54 power play goals on 226 opportunities for a percentage of 24%. That ranks them 3rd in the league as a power play unit. They've allowed 214 power play opportunities and have given up 48 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%. That is 24th in the NHL. As a team, the Lightning are 1st in the league with 233 goals scored while they've given up 176 goals, which is 24th overall. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 11.12%. As a team they give up 32 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%. That is 5th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Philadelphia has a Corsi percentage of 50.3% as they've tried 3,667 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 3,623 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. That ranks them 17th in Corsi percentage. They are 14th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 50.7% as they have 2,756 shots while they've given up 2,682 attempts on defense. The Flyers start possessions in the offensive zone 50.1% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.9% for the year. That puts them 17th and 14th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They have 2,033 face-off wins as opposed to 1,780 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53.3%. That is 4th overall in the NHL. On defense Philadelphia has 1,334 hits and they've blocked 941 attempts from opposing offenses, which is 16th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 7th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 52.6% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 47.4% for the season, which is 27th in the NHL. They have 1,911 face-off wins compared to 2,104 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.6%. That is 29th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 1,336 hits and they have blocked 919 shots from the opposition, which is 20th in the league. Tampa Bay is 14th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.4% as they've attempted 3,961 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,751 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.2% ranks 15th as they have 2,966 attempts while they have given up 2,832 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Flyers/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay -155

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