Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Picks & Predictions 12/27/2018

Thursday, December 27, 2018

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Philadelphia Flyers head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, December 27, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Flyers at +190 and the Lightning at -250.

Philadelphia has a record of 15-16-4 this year. They are 7th in the Metropolitan Division. They've tallied 104 goals and surrendered 125 goals for a point differential of -21. For the year they have an ATS mark of 14-20-0 and an over/under record of 20-14-0. Tampa Bay has a record of 28-7-2 this season. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 154 goals and given up 106 for a goal differential of +48. Their record against the spread is 28-9-0 while their over/under mark is 21-14-0.

Valuable Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Flyers are 14-20-0 straight up this year

The Philadelphia Flyers are 20-14-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 28-9-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 21-14-0 against the over/under this season

Key Philadelphia Flyers Injuries

12/17/18 GO Anthony Stolarz Lower Body is out 2-4 weeks
11/16/18 GO Brian Elliott Lower Body is out indefinitely
10/30/18 C Corban Knight Upper Body IR (10/28)
10/03/18 D Samuel Morin Knee IR (10/03)

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

12/18/18 RW Mathieu Joseph Lower Body IR (12/18)
11/29/18 D Anton Stralman Upper Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Claude Giroux has scored 42 total points this year for the Flyers. He has 12 goals this season with 115 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 30 assists on the year and averages 20.7 minutes played per contest. Jakub Voracek averages 18.7 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by tallying 9 goals on 88 attempts. He has 19 assists, giving him a total of 28 points on the year. Michal Neuvirth has 2 wins and 2 losses this season in goal for the Flyers. He has 66 shots against him and he's surrendered 11 goals. He's made 55 stops for a save percentage of 83%.

Player Spotlight

Nikita Kucherov has 57 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 16 goals this year with 100 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 41 assists on the year and averages 18.7 minutes played per contest. Brayden Point averages 18.2 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 21% by scoring 21 goals on 98 attempts. He has 26 assists, giving him a total of 47 points on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has 12 wins and 3 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 569 shots against him and he's given up 41 goals. He's made 528 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flyers have 34 total points this year, which is 26th in the NHL. They've scored 104 goals while giving up 125 scores, which has them ranked 20th and 5th respectively. They have had 105 power play chances and scored 14 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 13%. That is 29th in the league. The Flyers have given up 115 power play opportunities and surrendered 28 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 76%, ranking them 27th when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 9.38% for the year. They allow 29 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 88%, which is 31st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 1st in the league with a total of 58 points this season. They have 37 power play goals on 128 chances for a percentage of 29%. That is 1st in the NHL. They've given up 123 power play opportunities and surrendered 21 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, ranking 8th overall. As a team, the Lightning are 1st with a total of 154 goals scored while they've given up 106 goals this season, ranking 19th in goals against. They average 34 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 12.36%. As a unit they give up 32 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them 7th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Philadelphia is 7th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.1%, as they've attempted 2,058 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 1,890 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.6% as they have 1,545 attempts while they have given up 1,395 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 7th in the league. The Flyers start possessions in the offensive zone 49% of the time, which is 19th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 51% for the season. That is 13th overall in the NHL. They have 1,102 face-off wins compared to 891 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 55.3%. That ranks them 1st in the league. On defense Philadelphia has 801 hits and they have blocked 495 shots from the opposition, putting them 23rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 14th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.2% for the season, which is 18th in the NHL. They have 1,136 face-off wins compared to 1,110 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.6%. That is 13th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 900 hits and they have blocked 511 shots from the opposition, which is 18th in the league. Tampa Bay is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51.5% as they've attempted 2,235 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,102 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 51.6% ranks 9th as they have 1,699 attempts while they have given up 1,591 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Flyers/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia +190

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